As of October 24, 2026, 06:35 PM ET, Polymarket traders price June 30, 2027 at 22.0% in UK election called by...? — $839.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, June 30, 2027, is priced at 22.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -3.0 pts; past month: -13.0 pts.
Since June 23, 2026, June 30, 2027 has traded between 20.5% and 61.0%. It opened at 35.5% and last traded at 22.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 24.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 22.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 22.0% |
June 30, 2027 is favored at 22.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 22¢ | 22.0% | — | $8.4K | 1.0% |
| December 31, 2026 | 8¢ | 7.5% | +2.0 pts | $40.0K | 4.8% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 20¢ / ask 24¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$839.5K has been traded on this event in total, $634 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the date of the next UK general election is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the election date be declared, not that the election actually occur within the market timeframe. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United Kingdom, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,678 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Capital-Gaiters | Yes | 1,678 | $369 |
| Rash-Dozen | No | 1,333 | $1.0K |
| Humiliating-Ability | No | 1,198 | $934 |
| Friendly-Raffle | Yes | 725 | $160 |
| Left-Peripheral | No | 598 | $467 |
| Webbed-Kitten | Yes | 373 | $82 |
| Cluttered-Meringue | Yes | 368 | $81 |
| Scaly-Degradation | Yes | 352 | $78 |
| Ragged-Dose | No | 347 | $271 |
| Fresh-Ordinary | No | 322 | $251 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:24 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.1% | $50 |
| Oct 24, 11:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 78.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 09:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:09 AM ET | No | SELL | 92.6% | $52 |
| Oct 24, 01:26 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 12:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.7% | $21 |
| Oct 23, 05:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 05:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 AM ET | No | SELL | 75.0% | $30 |
| Oct 23, 12:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 25.0% | $5 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is June 30, 2027 at 22.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 7.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/uk-election-called-by?via=bro
$839.5K in total volume, with $634 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
June 30, 2027, priced at 22.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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