As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Petr Yan at 90.3% in Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026? — $473.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Petr Yan, is priced at 90.3%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +31.9 pts; past week: +27.4 pts; past month: +34.8 pts.
Since January 02, 2026, Petr Yan has traded between 16.5% and 93.7%. It opened at 53.5% and last traded at 93.7%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 63.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 56.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 93.7% |
Petr Yan is favored at 90.3%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petr Yan | 90¢ | 90.3% | +31.9 pts | $12.4K | 2.6% |
| Sean O'Malley | 2¢ | 2.1% | +1.2 pts | $11.6K | 2.4% |
| Song Yadong | 2¢ | 1.9% | +1.1 pts | $122.0K | 25.8% |
| Merab Dvalishvili | 1¢ | 0.6% | -38.9 pts | $11.6K | 2.4% |
| Umar Nurmagomedov | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $5.3K | 1.1% |
| Cory Sandhagen | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.9K | 1.0% |
| Deiveson Figueiredo | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $43.1K | 9.1% |
| Aiemann Zahabi | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $62.9K | 13.3% |
| Marlon Vera | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $65.5K | 13.8% |
| Mario Bautista | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $23.3K | 4.9% |
| David Martinez | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $111.1K | 23.5% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 13¢ (bid 84¢ / ask 97¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$473.7K has been traded on this event in total, $5.3K of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,395 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 3,395 | $328 |
| Made-Up-Violation | Yes | 1,305 | $1.2K |
| Crooked-Building | Yes | 812 | $734 |
| Unaware-Elite | Yes | 400 | $361 |
| Honest-Similarity | No | 332 | $32 |
| Adventurous-Safari | Yes | 306 | $276 |
| Noxious-Success | No | 254 | $24 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | No | 251 | $24 |
| Well-Worn-Lounge | Yes | 202 | $183 |
| Crazy-Fishmonger | Yes | 193 | $174 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:32 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.1% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 04:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 04:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 04:24 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 04:10 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.1% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.2% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:40 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.7% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 11:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.3% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 11:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $33 |
| Oct 24, 11:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $32 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Petr Yan at 90.3%. Next is Sean O'Malley at 2.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-bantamweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026?via=bro
$473.7K in total volume, with $5.3K traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.
Petr Yan, priced at 90.3% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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