Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:34 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Alexander Volkanovski at 97.9% in Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? — $330.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $6.2K.
Leading outcome
Alexander Volkanovski
98%
A 97.9% price implies roughly a 98-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +48.9 pts7D +50.3 pts30D +46.4 pts
Alexander Volkanovski97.9%
Jean Silva0.7%
Bid
97¢
Ask
99¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since January 02, 2026: 25.0% – 97.9% · Opened at 59.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?
Category
UFC 333, Sports, UFC, mma
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$330.2K
Volume (24h)
$6.2K
Liquidity
$22.1K
Markets
19
Leading outcome
Alexander Volkanovski — 97.9%
Resolution source
https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Alexander Volkanovski, is priced at 97.9%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +48.9 pts; past week: +50.3 pts; past month: +46.4 pts.

Since January 02, 2026, Alexander Volkanovski has traded between 25.0% and 97.9%. It opened at 59.5% and last traded at 97.9%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202647.5%
Oct 18, 202648.0%
Oct 19, 202648.5%
Oct 20, 202648.0%
Oct 22, 202649.0%
Oct 23, 202648.5%
Oct 24, 202697.9%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Alexander Volkanovski is favored at 97.9%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Alexander Volkanovski98¢97.9%+48.9 pts$12.5K3.8%
Jean Silva1¢0.7%-0.1 pts$5.6K1.7%
Movsar Evloev0¢0.1%-48.9 pts$19.3K5.9%
Kevin Vallejos0¢0.1%-0.2 pts$1.6K0.5%
Diego Lopes0¢0.1%—$1.3K0.4%
Yair Rodriguez0¢0.1%—$1.2K0.4%
Lerone Murphy0¢0.1%—$2.4K0.7%
Aljamain Sterling0¢0.1%—$142.8K43.3%
Arnold Allen0¢0.1%—$1.6K0.5%
Youssef Zalal0¢0.1%—$138.3K41.9%
Steve Garcia0¢0.1%—$1.8K0.6%
Brian Ortega0¢0.1%—$1.6K0.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$330.2K has been traded on this event in total, $6.2K of it in the last 24 hours, across 19 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Featherweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Resolution source: https://www.ufc.com/athletes

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,587 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No2,587$56
Unaware-EliteYes951$931
Hearty-LikelihoodYes687$672
Mediocre-FingerYes499$488
Hot-BugleNo460$10
Soulful-SailingYes400$391
United-CartelYes399$391
Shabby-ChequeYes397$388
Frosty-Jogging-PeaNo395$8
Flat-WokYes361$354

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $490 at 92.5%BUY No — $278 at 99.7%SELL Yes — $216 at 48.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:34 PM ETYesBUY0.2%$0
Oct 24, 05:36 PM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 24, 05:36 PM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 24, 05:36 PM ETYesSELL0.1%$0
Oct 24, 05:16 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$13
Oct 24, 05:07 PM ETNoSELL99.0%$18
Oct 24, 05:06 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$20
Oct 24, 05:05 PM ETNoBUY98.0%$24
Oct 24, 05:05 PM ETYesBUY13.0%$3
Oct 24, 05:05 PM ETNoBUY97.0%$3

Related markets

More UFC 333

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Alexander Volkanovski at 97.9%. Next is Jean Silva at 0.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-ufc-featherweight-champion-at-the-end-of-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026??

$330.2K in total volume, with $6.2K traded in the last 24 hours across 19 markets.

When does Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.ufc.com/athletes.

What is the most likely outcome of Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

Alexander Volkanovski, priced at 97.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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