As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 92.2% in Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? — $340.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 92.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.7 pts; past week: -7.8 pts; past month: -1.6 pts.
Since November 05, 2025, No has traded between 2.1% and 94.0%. It opened at 41.0% and last traded at 92.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 84.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.8% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 92.2% |
No is favored at 92.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92¢ | 92.2% | +1.7 pts | $340.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 8¢ | 7.8% | -1.7 pts | $340.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 8¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$340.6K has been traded on this event in total, $144 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of June 26, 2025—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 19,862 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vague-Speech | No | 19,862 | $18.3K |
| Broken-Cashew | Yes | 9,824 | $771 |
| Buzzing-Beginner | No | 3,475 | $3.2K |
| Busy-Page | Yes | 3,275 | $257 |
| Smoggy-Sunglasses | No | 2,707 | $2.5K |
| Unlined-Pole | Yes | 2,324 | $182 |
| Scientific-Trance | Yes | 1,926 | $151 |
| Blaring-Backdrop | Yes | 1,746 | $137 |
| Handmade-Gathering | Yes | 1,504 | $118 |
| Favorable-Pepper-Brushing | Yes | 1,293 | $102 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 10:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 7.4% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:29 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.5% | $91 |
| Oct 24, 12:14 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.6% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 06:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.7% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 06:27 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.7% | $7 |
| Oct 23, 02:43 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.8% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 11:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.8% | $7 |
| Oct 21, 07:01 AM ET | No | SELL | 89.3% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 04:35 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 10.9% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 02:26 AM ET | No | BUY | 90.6% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 92.2%. Next is Yes at 7.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027?via=bro
$340.6K in total volume, with $144 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 92.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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