As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 65.5% in Will any contestant beat Luke Littler? — $9.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 65.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -15.0 pts; past week: +23.5 pts.
Since October 16, 2026, Yes has traded between 34.0% and 81.0%. It opened at 34.0% and last traded at 81.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 34.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 41.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 51.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 46.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 81.0% |
Yes is favored at 65.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 66¢ | 65.5% | -15.0 pts | $9.6K | 100.0% |
| No | 34¢ | 34.5% | +15.0 pts | $9.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 11¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 71¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.6K has been traded on this event in total, $333 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
"Beat Luke Littler" is a live Netflix special scheduled for October 30, 2026, at 7:00 PM GMT (3:00 PM ET). On the show, amateur challengers each play a single leg of 501 against Luke Littler for a £501,000 prize. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any contestant beats Luke Littler on the live broadcast of "Beat Luke Littler". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A contestant beats Luke Littler if they win a leg of darts against him and the show officially declares the contestant the winner of that leg on its live broadcast. The leg is judged under the format the show uses, including any handicap, head start, or modified rules the show applies. Any person other than Luke Littler who plays a leg against him on the official broadcast counts as a contestant. Legs played in qualifying tournaments, practice, warm-ups, or any other setting outside the official live broadcast will not count. A leg that the show voids or orders replayed before a winner is declared will not count. Retractions, disqualifications, or prize forfeitures made after a contestant has been officially declared the winner of a leg will not be considered, and whether the contestant receives the prize money will not be considered. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,258 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sour-Pole-Sea | Yes | 2,258 | $1.5K |
| Fickle-Game | No | 1,920 | $662 |
| Shocked-Stadium | No | 1,081 | $373 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 485 | $167 |
| Pure-Threat | Yes | 462 | $303 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 450 | $295 |
| JDP. | Yes | 178 | $117 |
| Distant-Proponent | Yes | 100 | $66 |
| Cooked-Independent | No | 100 | $34 |
| Known-Use | No | 97 | $34 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 06:52 PM ET | No | BUY | 40.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 65.9% | $66 |
| Oct 24, 12:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 34.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 12:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 07:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 25.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 07:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 07:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:12 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 71.0% | $25 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 65.5%. Next is No at 34.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-any-contestant-beat-luke-littler?via=bro
$9.6K in total volume, with $333 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 65.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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