As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.0% in Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? — $10.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.8 pts; past month: -6.7 pts.
Since August 20, 2026, No has traded between 47.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 93.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.2% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 95.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.9% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 93.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 93.0% |
No is favored at 93.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 93¢ | 93.0% | — | $10.1K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 7¢ | 7.0% | — | $10.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$10.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end September 14, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,320 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 4,320 | $305 |
| Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet | No | 3,994 | $3.7K |
| Grim-Cob | No | 400 | $372 |
| Weird-Freedom | Yes | 300 | $21 |
| Discrete-Wisteria | No | 300 | $279 |
| Elegant-Cloister | Yes | 293 | $21 |
| Teeming-Puppet | No | 279 | $260 |
| Flamboyant-Barometer | No | 180 | $167 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 159 | $11 |
| Amusing-Honeybee-Prow | Yes | 115 | $8 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 12:42 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
| Oct 17, 12:15 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 6.3% | $1 |
| Oct 14, 10:31 AM ET | No | SELL | 85.7% | $34 |
| Oct 11, 03:23 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.3% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.3% | $1 |
| Oct 11, 03:13 PM ET | No | SELL | 89.7% | $18 |
| Oct 11, 03:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 11, 03:09 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
| Oct 08, 10:48 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.9% | $1 |
| Oct 08, 09:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.0%. Next is Yes at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-insult-donald-trump-during-the-2026-emmy-awards?via=bro
$10.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end September 14, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
No, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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