Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 93.0% in Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? — $10.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
No
93%
A 93.0% price implies roughly a 93-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +1.8 pts30D −6.7 pts
No93.0%
Yes7.0%
Bid
0¢
Ask
14¢
Spread
14¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 20, 2026: 47.0% – 96.9% · Opened at 51.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?
Category
TV, Emmys, Trump, Culture
Scheduled end
September 14, 2026, 04:00 PM ET
Total volume
$10.1K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$2.9K
Markets
1
Leading outcome
No — 93.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No, is priced at 93.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.8 pts; past month: -6.7 pts.

Since August 20, 2026, No has traded between 47.0% and 96.9%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 93.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202696.7%
Oct 16, 202696.7%
Oct 18, 202695.2%
Oct 19, 202695.9%
Oct 20, 202696.9%
Oct 22, 202693.0%
Oct 23, 202693.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No is favored at 93.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No93¢93.0%—$10.1K100.0%
Yes7¢7.0%—$10.1K100.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 14¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 14¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$10.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end September 14, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone makes a public statement insulting Donald Trump at any point during the live broadcast of the 2026 Primetime Emmy Awards, scheduled for September 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement made on stage or during any other on-air segment of the broadcast, the direct language of which is captured in the live or recorded broadcast. Statements made off-air, backstage, or outside the broadcast window will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. A statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages Donald Trump either personally or professionally. This includes calling him a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname, using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., "He isn't smart", "He has no judgment"). Disparaging him in his professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster president," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at his specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,320 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes4,320$305
Obvious-Geyser-CutletNo3,994$3.7K
Grim-CobNo400$372
Weird-FreedomYes300$21
Discrete-WisteriaNo300$279
Elegant-CloisterYes293$21
Teeming-PuppetNo279$260
Flamboyant-BarometerNo180$167
Belated-GlueYes159$11
Amusing-Honeybee-ProwYes115$8

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $130 at 80.0%SELL No — $79 at 80.1%SELL No — $41 at 80.3%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 17, 12:42 AM ETYesSELL0.3%$0
Oct 17, 12:15 AM ETYesBUY6.3%$1
Oct 14, 10:31 AM ETNoSELL85.7%$34
Oct 11, 03:23 PM ETYesSELL10.3%$2
Oct 11, 03:20 PM ETYesSELL10.3%$1
Oct 11, 03:13 PM ETNoSELL89.7%$18
Oct 11, 03:09 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$2
Oct 11, 03:09 PM ETYesBUY8.0%$2
Oct 08, 10:48 AM ETYesBUY1.9%$1
Oct 08, 09:43 AM ETYesBUY2.0%$0

Related markets

More TV

New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?

March 31, 2027 5.5% · 24H VOL $416

#1 Searched TV Show on Google 2026?

Show A 50.0% · 24H VOL $27

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 93.0%. Next is Yes at 7.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-insult-donald-trump-during-the-2026-emmy-awards?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards??

$10.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? end?

The market is scheduled to end September 14, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards?, according to Polymarket traders?

No, priced at 93.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.