As of October 24, 2026, 07:46 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Yes at 98.4% in Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? — $355.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Yes, is priced at 98.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.1 pts; past week: +0.6 pts; past month: +76.3 pts.
Since December 12, 2025, Yes has traded between 15.0% and 99.2%. It opened at 59.0% and last traded at 98.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 98.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 98.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.4% |
Yes is favored at 98.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 98¢ | 98.4% | +0.1 pts | $355.1K | 100.0% |
| No | 2¢ | 1.7% | -0.1 pts | $355.1K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$355.1K has been traded on this event in total, $120 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,074 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trained-Notion | No | 4,074 | $67 |
| Cold-Blessing | Yes | 3,813 | $3.8K |
| Monumental-Union | No | 2,028 | $33 |
| Easy-Spokesman | Yes | 1,902 | $1.9K |
| 0xfa394a59… | Yes | 1,718 | $1.7K |
| Spiffy-Enactment-Strength | Yes | 1,381 | $1.4K |
| Tough-Garter | No | 1,319 | $22 |
| Blaring-Chrome | No | 1,089 | $18 |
| Soft-Flugelhorn | Yes | 1,066 | $1.0K |
| Surprised-Ingredient | No | 1,043 | $17 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:03 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.1% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 03:05 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.1% | $14 |
| Oct 23, 10:36 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.9% | $103 |
| Oct 23, 06:00 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 04:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 02:12 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $35 |
| Oct 23, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.0% | $6 |
| Oct 22, 03:42 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.9% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 01:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.7% | $1.4K |
| Oct 22, 04:20 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.9% | $59 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Yes at 98.4%. Next is No at 1.7%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-apple-release-a-new-product-line-before-2027?via=bro
$355.1K in total volume, with $120 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Yes, priced at 98.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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