As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↓ $4.26 at 46.9% in What will gas hit the week of October 19? — $2.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↓ $4.26, is priced at 46.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +11.4 pts.
Since October 18, 2026, ↓ $4.26 has traded between 35.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 47.8%.
↓ $4.26 is favored at 46.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ $4.26 | 47¢ | 46.9% | +11.4 pts | $217 | 9.6% |
| ↑ $4.30 | 12¢ | 12.5% | -21.0 pts | $34 | 1.5% |
| ↓ $4.28 | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $10 | 0.4% |
| ↑ $4.36 | 5¢ | 5.0% | +2.4 pts | $139 | 6.2% |
| ↑ $4.34 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -3.5 pts | $177 | 7.8% |
| ↑ $4.32 | 5¢ | 5.0% | -33.0 pts | $59 | 2.6% |
| ↑ $4.40 | 2¢ | 2.0% | +0.8 pts | $92 | 4.1% |
| ↓ $4.20 | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $39 | 1.7% |
| ↓ $4.18 | 1¢ | 0.8% | — | $96 | 4.3% |
| ↑ $4.38 | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $189 | 8.4% |
| ↓ $4.24 | 1¢ | 0.5% | -49.5 pts | $218 | 9.7% |
| ↓ $4.22 | 1¢ | 0.5% | -10.4 pts | $189 | 8.4% |
| ↓ $4.16 | 0¢ | 0.3% | — | $268 | 11.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 94¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.3K has been traded on this event in total, $843 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA is equal to or below the specified price for any date from Monday, October 19, 2026 through Sunday, October 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market resolves based on the US national average price of regular gasoline published by AAA at https://gasprices.aaa.com/ in the "National Average Gas Prices" table under the "Regular" column and the "Current Avg." row. Each date's price is the price displayed at 10:00 AM ET on that date, provided that at that time the "Price as of" date shown on the webpage is that date and the "Yesterday Avg." row in the same column shows the previous date's price. If either condition is not met at 10:00 AM ET, the price will be observed at the first time on that date at which both are met; if both are not met by 11:59 PM ET on that date, the price displayed in the table at that time will be used. If AAA does not display the US national average price of regular gasoline in the table at the time of observation, the price displayed elsewhere on the webpage will be used. If AAA displays no US national average price of regular gasoline on the specified webpage at any time on one or more dates within the specified week, this market will resolve based on the prices observed for the remaining dates. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://gasprices.aaa.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 178 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serpentine-Illusion | No | 178 | $95 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 100 | $47 |
| Youthful-Calico | Yes | 39 | $18 |
| Purple-Warlock | Yes | 39 | $18 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 12:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 12:29 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $78 |
| Oct 24, 12:18 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $39 |
| Oct 22, 07:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $16 |
| Oct 22, 07:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $96 |
| Oct 22, 12:01 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 5.0% | $5 |
| Oct 22, 12:00 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.0% | $54 |
| Oct 21, 03:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $29 |
| Oct 21, 03:43 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↓ $4.26 at 46.9%. Next is ↑ $4.30 at 12.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-gas-hit-week-of-october-19-2026?via=bro
$2.3K in total volume, with $843 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 10:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://gasprices.aaa.com/.
↓ $4.26, priced at 46.9% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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