As of October 24, 2026, 08:20 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $49B at 83.5% in Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 capital expenditures be above __? — $8.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $49B, is priced at 83.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.5 pts; past week: -4.0 pts.
Since October 13, 2026, $49B has traded between 45.5% and 88.0%. It opened at 45.5% and last traded at 88.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 76.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 88.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 82.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 72.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 88.0% |
$49B is favored at 83.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $49B | 84¢ | 83.5% | -4.5 pts | $4.5K | 55.8% |
| $53B | 73¢ | 73.0% | -2.0 pts | $1.7K | 20.6% |
| $57B | 25¢ | 25.0% | -0.5 pts | $1.2K | 14.4% |
| $61B | 20¢ | 20.0% | -2.5 pts | $394 | 4.9% |
| $65B | 12¢ | 12.0% | — | $355 | 4.4% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 19¢ (bid 74¢ / ask 93¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's capital expenditures for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve based on Google's purchases of property and equipment for the quarter referenced. If both metrics are not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 364 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 364 | $60 |
| Known-Use | No | 213 | $35 |
| LIBAI | Yes | 195 | $163 |
| Teeming-Puppet | Yes | 195 | $163 |
| Grave-Atelier | No | 178 | $29 |
| Tragic-Member | Yes | 128 | $107 |
| Unsung-Gingerbread-Roast | Yes | 110 | $92 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 58 | $49 |
| Piercing-Formation | Yes | 40 | $33 |
| Embellished-Creation | Yes | 32 | $27 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 04:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 04:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 90.0% | $18 |
| Oct 22, 04:58 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 89.0% | $18 |
| Oct 19, 05:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 7.0% | $1 |
| Oct 18, 11:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.0% | $4 |
| Oct 18, 10:10 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 17, 02:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 58.0% | $3 |
| Oct 17, 05:50 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 83.0% | $1 |
| Oct 17, 02:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 23.0% | $5 |
| Oct 16, 06:51 AM ET | No | SELL | 18.8% | $63 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is $49B at 83.5%. Next is $53B at 73.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-google-googl-q3-capital-expenditures-be-above-20261008120048000?via=bro
$8.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 28, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
$49B, priced at 83.5% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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