As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $16.0B at 82.0% in Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __? — $2.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $16.0B, is priced at 82.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, $16.0B has traded between 73.0% and 86.5%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 82.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 84.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 82.0% |
$16.0B is favored at 82.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $16.0B | 82¢ | 82.0% | -6.0 pts | $235 | 9.0% |
| $17.0B | 64¢ | 63.5% | -5.0 pts | $627 | 23.9% |
| $18.0B | 58¢ | 58.0% | -3.5 pts | $501 | 19.1% |
| $19.0B | 15¢ | 14.9% | -0.7 pts | $1.3K | 48.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.6K has been traded on this event in total, $185 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 95 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lighthearted-Management-Report | No | 95 | $17 |
| Skeletal-Liver | Yes | 55 | $45 |
| Known-Use | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Purple-Warlock | Yes | 20 | $16 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 01:06 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.0% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 07:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 51.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 11:47 PM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 12:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 32.0% | $3 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 56.0% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 12:27 PM ET | No | SELL | 49.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 56.0% | $11 |
| Oct 23, 11:21 AM ET | No | BUY | 49.0% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 11:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 51.0% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 04:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 50.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is $16.0B at 82.0%. Next is $17.0B at 63.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-micron-q1-nand-revenue-be-above?via=bro
$2.6K in total volume, with $185 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
$16.0B, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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