Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:58 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $16.0B at 82.0% in Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __? — $2.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $185.
Leading outcome
$16.0B
82%
A 82.0% price implies roughly a 82-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −6.0 pts7D −3.5 pts
$16.0B82.0%
$17.0B63.5%
Bid
77¢
Ask
87¢
Spread
10¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 15, 2026: 73.0% – 86.5% · Opened at 73.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?
Category
AI, MU, KPIs, Tech, Micron, Finance, Big Tech, Recurring
Scheduled end
December 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET
Total volume
$2.6K
Volume (24h)
$185
Liquidity
$740
Markets
4
Leading outcome
$16.0B — 82.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, $16.0B, is priced at 82.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -6.0 pts; past week: -3.5 pts.

Since October 15, 2026, $16.0B has traded between 73.0% and 86.5%. It opened at 73.0% and last traded at 82.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202673.0%
Oct 16, 202686.5%
Oct 18, 202685.5%
Oct 19, 202684.0%
Oct 20, 202686.5%
Oct 24, 202682.0%
Oct 24, 202682.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

$16.0B is favored at 82.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
$16.0B82¢82.0%-6.0 pts$2359.0%
$17.0B64¢63.5%-5.0 pts$62723.9%
$18.0B58¢58.0%-3.5 pts$50119.1%
$19.0B15¢14.9%-0.7 pts$1.3K48.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 10¢ (bid 77¢ / ask 87¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$2.6K has been traded on this event in total, $185 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Micron's NAND revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027, as reported in its official company earnings materials and investor presentation, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is Micron's official company earnings materials and investor presentation, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. … (condensed)

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 95 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Lighthearted-Management-ReportNo95$17
Skeletal-LiverYes55$45
Known-UseYes20$16
Purple-WarlockYes20$16

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $299 at 76.3%SELL No — $291 at 92.6%SELL No — $117 at 83.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 01:06 PM ETYesBUY37.0%$7
Oct 24, 07:03 AM ETNoBUY51.0%$3
Oct 23, 11:47 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$2
Oct 23, 12:31 PM ETNoBUY32.0%$3
Oct 23, 12:27 PM ETYesSELL56.0%$6
Oct 23, 12:27 PM ETNoSELL49.0%$5
Oct 23, 11:21 AM ETYesBUY56.0%$11
Oct 23, 11:21 AM ETNoBUY49.0%$10
Oct 23, 11:21 AM ETYesBUY51.0%$5
Oct 23, 04:10 AM ETNoBUY50.0%$10

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is $16.0B at 82.0%. Next is $17.0B at 63.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-micron-q1-nand-revenue-be-above?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __??

$2.6K in total volume, with $185 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.

When does Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 23, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Will Micron Q1 NAND revenue be above __?, according to Polymarket traders?

$16.0B, priced at 82.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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