As of October 24, 2026, 09:00 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $95B at 85.0% in Will NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __? — $2.2K traded so far.
The leading outcome, $95B, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -11.0 pts.
Since October 15, 2026, $95B has traded between 75.5% and 96.0%. It opened at 75.5% and last traded at 84.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 84.5% |
$95B is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $95B | 85¢ | 85.0% | — | $345 | 15.9% |
| $100B | 81¢ | 81.0% | +2.5 pts | $454 | 20.9% |
| $105B | 29¢ | 29.0% | -19.0 pts | $844 | 38.9% |
| $110B | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $350 | 16.1% |
| $115B | 20¢ | 20.0% | — | $177 | 8.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 26¢ (bid 72¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.2K has been traded on this event in total, $18 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if NVIDIA's Data Center revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market. The resolution source for this market is the specified company's official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company's earnings webcast may also be used. Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company's official earnings materials. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 137 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | No | 137 | $21 |
| Bumpy-Conscience | Yes | 40 | $34 |
| LIBAI | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Oddball-Poison | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Grave-Atelier | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Amazing-Antelope-Shakedown | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Frozen-Stockintrade | Yes | 20 | $17 |
| Irresponsible-Chord-Hunter | No | 8 | $1 |
| Whirlwind-Cooking | Yes | 5 | $4 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:04 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 72.0% | $13 |
| Oct 23, 01:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 23, 01:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 84.0% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 22, 12:08 AM ET | No | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 21, 04:50 AM ET | No | BUY | 80.0% | $6 |
| Oct 21, 02:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.0% | $5 |
| Oct 19, 11:04 PM ET | No | BUY | 59.0% | $12 |
| Oct 19, 03:58 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $2 |
| Oct 18, 06:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 30.2% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is $95B at 85.0%. Next is $100B at 81.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-nvidia-nvda-q3-data-center-revenue-be-above-20261008120135000?via=bro
$2.2K in total volume, with $18 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 18, 2026, 06:00 PM ET.
$95B, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.