As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 90.0% in Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31? — $6.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 90.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.5 pts; past month: -7.0 pts.
Since February 21, 2026, No has traded between 38.0% and 93.5%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 90.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 89.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 90.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 90.0% |
No is favored at 90.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90¢ | 90.0% | — | $6.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 10¢ | 10.0% | — | $6.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 12¢ (bid 4¢ / ask 16¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$6.7K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Chicago Bears franchise of the NFL officially announce a plan to move and play their home games permanently anywhere outside of the state of Illinois by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, any temporary change in venue will not be considered. For the purpose of this market, no naming changes will be taken into consideration, only official announcements about the home playing field of the Chicago Bears franchise. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Chicago Bears franchise and/or the NFL.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 253 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Loathsome-Ox | Yes | 253 | $25 |
| mgmoney | No | 151 | $136 |
| Identical-Inverse | No | 78 | $70 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Yes | 65 | $6 |
| Bouncy-Saving | Yes | 40 | $4 |
| Curvy-Perfume | No | 38 | $34 |
| Brown-Tragedy | No | 36 | $33 |
| Impressive-Credenza | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Original-Anything-Petition | Yes | 30 | $3 |
| Ambitious-Serum | No | 28 | $25 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 03:16 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 01:38 PM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $22 |
| Oct 05, 01:35 PM ET | No | SELL | 92.0% | $9 |
| Sep 28, 09:22 AM ET | No | SELL | 83.0% | $1 |
| Sep 07, 09:49 AM ET | No | SELL | 71.0% | $3 |
| Aug 30, 08:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $2 |
| Aug 30, 08:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 89.6% | $83 |
| Aug 14, 09:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $63 |
| Aug 14, 09:25 PM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $107 |
| Aug 13, 03:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 69.0% | $9 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 90.0%. Next is Yes at 10.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-chicago-bears-leave-illinois-by-dec-31?via=bro
$6.7K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 90.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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