As of October 24, 2026, 09:02 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ↑5.75 at 63.0% in Will USD/BRL hit __ in 2026? — $1.8K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ↑5.75, is priced at 63.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +7.5 pts; past week: +5.0 pts; past month: +10.5 pts.
Since June 09, 2026, ↑5.75 has traded between 19.5% and 59.5%. It opened at 54.0% and last traded at 56.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 58.0% |
| Oct 17, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 59.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 56.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 54.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 56.5% |
↑5.75 is favored at 63.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑5.75 | 63¢ | 63.0% | +7.5 pts | $5 | 0.3% |
| ↑5.5 | 63¢ | 63.0% | +4.5 pts | $9 | 0.5% |
| ↓4.5 | 57¢ | 57.0% | +3.0 pts | $5 | 0.3% |
| ↑6.5 | 41¢ | 41.0% | -2.0 pts | $93 | 5.1% |
| ↑6 | 41¢ | 41.0% | +2.0 pts | $202 | 11.1% |
| ↑6.25 | 40¢ | 40.0% | -1.0 pts | $137 | 7.5% |
| ↓4.25 | 17¢ | 17.0% | — | $142 | 7.8% |
| ↓4 | 16¢ | 15.5% | — | $163 | 8.9% |
| ↓3.75 | 15¢ | 15.3% | +0.1 pts | $149 | 8.2% |
| ↑7.25 | 14¢ | 13.6% | +0.5 pts | $130 | 7.2% |
| ↑7 | 9¢ | 9.2% | -0.4 pts | $648 | 35.5% |
| ↑6.75 | 6¢ | 5.5% | — | $139 | 7.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 64¢ (bid 31¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.8K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 12 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com high price (“H”) for any USD/BRL hourly candle for an hour between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET is equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/BRL hourly candle high price is equal to or above the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “H” figure located at the top of the USD/BRL Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart).
Resolution source: https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 5 | $3 |
| Qualified-Border | No | 5 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 22, 11:53 PM ET | No | SELL | 31.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 11:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 01:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 04:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.3% | $0 |
| Oct 08, 10:23 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $512 |
| Oct 07, 12:10 AM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $1 |
| Oct 05, 05:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $9 |
| Sep 27, 08:37 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Sep 16, 10:30 AM ET | No | BUY | 94.1% | $50 |
| Aug 10, 02:13 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 5.0% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is ↑5.75 at 63.0%. Next is ↑5.5 at 63.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-usdbrl-hit-in-2026?via=bro
$1.8K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 12 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-brl-chart.
↑5.75, priced at 63.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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