Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

#2 Spotify Artist 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Drake at 80.0% in #2 Spotify Artist 2026 — $54.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Drake
80%
A 80.0% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +3.5 pts30D +2.0 pts
Drake80.0%
Placeholder 150.0%
Bid
79¢
Ask
81¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 12, 2026: 22.5% – 83.5% · Opened at 22.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
#2 Spotify Artist 2026
Category
Music, Culture, spotify
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$54.0K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$22.6K
Markets
22
Leading outcome
Drake — 80.0%
Resolution source
https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Drake, is priced at 80.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +2.0 pts.

Since June 12, 2026, Drake has traded between 22.5% and 83.5%. It opened at 22.5% and last traded at 80.0%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202676.5%
Oct 15, 202676.5%
Oct 16, 202676.5%
Oct 18, 202676.5%
Oct 19, 202676.5%
Oct 20, 202676.5%
Oct 24, 202680.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Drake is favored at 80.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Drake80¢80.0%—$25.3K46.8%
Placeholder 150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 850¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 950¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 1050¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 1150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Taylor Swift12¢12.0%—$18.8K34.9%
Bad Bunny4¢4.0%—$2.2K4.1%
Ed Sheeran1¢1.1%+0.1 pts$1.6K3.0%
Billie Eilish1¢1.1%—$1.4K2.6%
Ariana Grande0¢0.5%—$1.5K2.8%
Bruno Mars0¢0.4%—$8871.6%
The Weeknd0¢0.4%—$8291.5%
Eminem0¢0.1%—$6031.1%
Justin Bieber0¢0.1%—$7621.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 79¢ / ask 81¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$54.0K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 22 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the second most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its second most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the second most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Spotify is a registered mark of Spotify AB. Polymarket is not affiliated with Spotify AB and neither Spotify AB, nor its affiliates, sponsor or endorse Polymarket.

Resolution source: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,138 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,138$228
Each-SummaryYes1,076$860
Unfit-HardboardYes799$640
Known-UseNo592$118
Perfect-MistakeYes580$464
Pristine-BusinessNo335$67
Noxious-SuccessNo312$62
Far-UniqueYes300$240
Snappy-RoosterNo285$57
Evil-RowYes221$177

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $231 at 77.0%BUY No — $208 at 99.5%SELL No — $77 at 98.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 22, 11:47 PM ETNoSELL19.0%$0
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETNoBUY18.0%$3
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETNoSELL21.0%$48
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY81.0%$15
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY80.0%$15
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY77.5%$31
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY77.0%$231
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY77.0%$31
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY78.0%$16
Oct 22, 10:33 PM ETYesBUY77.0%$15

Related markets

More Music

Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner

Placeholder f - TBD Artist 50.0% · 24H VOL $5.2K

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 90.0% · 24H VOL $3.8K

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 62.8% · 24H VOL $3.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of #2 Spotify Artist 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Drake at 80.0%. Next is Placeholder 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-artist-2026-20260609190427525?via=bro

How much money has been traded on #2 Spotify Artist 2026?

$54.0K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 22 markets.

When does #2 Spotify Artist 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/.

What is the most likely outcome of #2 Spotify Artist 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Drake, priced at 80.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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