Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

#2 Spotify Song 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:50 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 84.0% in #2 Spotify Song 2026 — $134.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $2.
Leading outcome
Babydoll – Dominic Fike
84%
A 84.0% price implies roughly a 84-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.0 pts7D −0.5 pts30D +9.5 pts
Babydoll – Dominic Fike84.0%
"Song A"50.0%
Bid
83¢
Ask
85¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 29, 2026: 33.0% – 91.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
#2 Spotify Song 2026
Category
Music, Culture, spotify, Recurring
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$134.7K
Volume (24h)
$2
Liquidity
$74.8K
Markets
66
Leading outcome
Babydoll – Dominic Fike — 84.0%
Resolution source
https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Babydoll – Dominic Fike, is priced at 84.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -0.5 pts; past month: +9.5 pts.

Since July 29, 2026, Babydoll – Dominic Fike has traded between 33.0% and 91.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 84.0%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202684.5%
Oct 18, 202679.0%
Oct 19, 202691.0%
Oct 20, 202688.0%
Oct 22, 202685.0%
Oct 23, 202685.0%
Oct 24, 202684.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Babydoll – Dominic Fike is favored at 84.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Babydoll – Dominic Fike84¢84.0%-1.0 pts$78.8K58.5%
"Song A"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song B"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song C"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song D"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song E"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song F"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song G"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song H"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song I"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song J"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song K"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song L"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song M"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song N"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song O"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song P"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Q"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song R"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song S"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song T"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song U"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song V"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song W"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song X"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Y"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Z"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AA"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AB"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AC"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AD"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AE"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AF"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AG"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AH"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AI"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AJ"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AK"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AL"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AM"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AN"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AO"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AP"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AQ"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AR"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AS"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AT"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AU"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AV"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AW"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AX"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AY"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
End of Beginning – Djo14¢13.5%+0.5 pts$39.6K29.4%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0¢0.2%—$9860.7%
Swim – BTS0¢0.2%—$1.5K1.1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0¢0.2%—$1.3K0.9%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0¢0.2%—$6.5K4.8%
stupid song – Olivia Rodrigo0¢0.1%—$8070.6%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars0¢0.1%—$8770.7%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars0¢0.1%—$6880.5%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars0¢0.1%—$7930.6%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo0¢0.1%—$7440.6%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean0¢0.1%—$8040.6%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande0¢0.1%—$6930.5%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy0¢0.1%—$6930.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 83¢ / ask 85¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$134.7K has been traded on this event in total, $2 of it in the last 24 hours, across 66 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song globally for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the #2 song of 2026. The named songs will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more songs are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the songs' listed titles. This market will resolve to the song that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If Spotify does not release who their #2 song for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Resolution source: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 8,332 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Unfit-HardboardYes8,332$7.0K
Energetic-ProducerNo6,082$973
0xa5ef39c3…No4,760$762
Perfect-MistakeYes4,218$3.5K
Yearly-TakeoverYes4,075$3.4K
Noxious-SuccessNo2,755$441
Known-UseNo781$125
Awesome-AvailabilityNo418$67
Taut-GiantNo320$51
Disloyal-Cost-TunaNo300$48

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $328 at 99.9%BUY No — $198 at 99.9%BUY No — $185 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 09:27 PM ETNoSELL14.0%$0
Oct 23, 05:56 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$17
Oct 23, 05:55 PM ETNoSELL15.0%$2
Oct 23, 05:53 PM ETNoSELL15.0%$0
Oct 23, 01:56 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$16
Oct 23, 01:56 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$16
Oct 23, 01:55 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$12
Oct 23, 01:55 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$16
Oct 23, 01:30 PM ETYesBUY85.0%$34
Oct 23, 01:30 PM ETNoBUY16.0%$2

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#2 US Spotify Song 2026

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of #2 Spotify Song 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Babydoll – Dominic Fike at 84.0%. Next is "Song A" at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/2-spotify-song-2026-20260729214346464?via=bro

How much money has been traded on #2 Spotify Song 2026?

$134.7K in total volume, with $2 traded in the last 24 hours across 66 markets.

When does #2 Spotify Song 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/.

What is the most likely outcome of #2 Spotify Song 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Babydoll – Dominic Fike, priced at 84.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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