Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

#3 Spotify Artist 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Taylor Swift at 79.5% in #3 Spotify Artist 2026 — $46.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $6.
Leading outcome
Taylor Swift
80%
A 79.5% price implies roughly a 80-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.5 pts7D +5.5 pts30D +1.0 pts
Taylor Swift79.5%
Placeholder 150.0%
Bid
76¢
Ask
83¢
Spread
7¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since June 12, 2026: 28.0% – 83.0% · Opened at 43.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
#3 Spotify Artist 2026
Category
Music, Culture, spotify
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$46.1K
Volume (24h)
$6
Liquidity
$13.3K
Markets
22
Leading outcome
Taylor Swift — 79.5%
Resolution source
https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Taylor Swift, is priced at 79.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.5 pts; past week: +5.5 pts; past month: +1.0 pts.

Since June 12, 2026, Taylor Swift has traded between 28.0% and 83.0%. It opened at 43.0% and last traded at 79.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202675.5%
Oct 16, 202674.5%
Oct 18, 202671.5%
Oct 19, 202677.5%
Oct 20, 202677.5%
Oct 23, 202681.0%
Oct 24, 202679.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Taylor Swift is favored at 79.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Taylor Swift80¢79.5%-1.5 pts$22.4K48.5%
Placeholder 150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 850¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 950¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 1050¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder 1150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Drake14¢14.5%+1.0 pts$14.3K31.1%
Bad Bunny1¢1.1%—$1.5K3.2%
Eminem1¢0.6%-0.4 pts$1.4K3.0%
Ariana Grande1¢0.5%—$9022.0%
Billie Eilish1¢0.5%-1.5 pts$1.3K2.9%
Ed Sheeran1¢0.5%—$6951.5%
Bruno Mars1¢0.5%—$1.0K2.3%
Justin Bieber0¢0.4%—$1.3K2.7%
The Weeknd0¢0.4%—$1.3K2.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 7¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 83¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$46.1K has been traded on this event in total, $6 of it in the last 24 hours, across 22 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most-streamed artists (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/). This market will resolve according to the third most-streamed Spotify artist for 2026. If Spotify does not release its third most-streamed artist for 2026 by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will default to "Other". If Spotify lists more than one artist as the third most-streamed artist, this market will resolve in favor of the artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Resolution source: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 931 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityYes931$740
0xa5ef39c3…No919$188
Caring-MedianNo846$173
Unfit-HardboardYes647$514
Triangular-GenreYes567$451
Pristine-BusinessNo296$61
Sardonic-CaperNo260$53
Impressive-PrincipleNo247$51
Wan-Cricketer-PuzzleYes240$190
Guilty-SpringYes181$144

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $99 at 99.2%BUY No — $90 at 82.0%SELL Yes — $61 at 18.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:34 PM ETYesSELL12.0%$0
Oct 23, 05:35 AM ETYesSELL76.0%$14
Oct 22, 06:08 PM ETNoBUY23.0%$1
Oct 22, 06:01 AM ETYesBUY80.0%$14
Oct 20, 08:27 PM ETYesSELL2.0%$1
Oct 20, 08:01 PM ETNoBUY86.7%$5
Oct 20, 08:00 PM ETYesBUY80.0%$4
Oct 20, 12:46 PM ETYesSELL15.0%$3
Oct 20, 01:40 AM ETNoSELL84.5%$11
Oct 20, 01:30 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$4

Related markets

More Music

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Placeholder f - TBD Artist 50.0% · 24H VOL $5.2K

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 90.0% · 24H VOL $3.8K

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 62.8% · 24H VOL $3.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of #3 Spotify Artist 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Taylor Swift at 79.5%. Next is Placeholder 1 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/3-spotify-artist-2026-20260609190655679?via=bro

How much money has been traded on #3 Spotify Artist 2026?

$46.1K in total volume, with $6 traded in the last 24 hours across 22 markets.

When does #3 Spotify Artist 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://newsroom.spotify.com/2024-12-04/top-songs-artists-podcasts-audiobooks-albums-trends-2024/.

What is the most likely outcome of #3 Spotify Artist 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Taylor Swift, priced at 79.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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