As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $280 at 97.8% in Will Apple (AAPL) close above ___ end of October? — $145 traded so far.
The leading outcome, $280, is priced at 97.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +6.7 pts.
Since September 25, 2026, $280 has traded between 50.0% and 97.8%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 97.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 90.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.6% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 90.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 93.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 92.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.8% |
$280 is favored at 97.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $280 | 98¢ | 97.8% | — | $68 | 46.9% |
| $330 | 52¢ | 52.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $290 | 52¢ | 51.9% | +1.4 pts | $10 | 6.9% |
| $300 | 51¢ | 51.4% | +1.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $320 | 51¢ | 51.4% | +1.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $340 | 51¢ | 51.0% | +1.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $310 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| $350 | 50¢ | 50.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| $360 | 48¢ | 48.5% | -2.5 pts | $5 | 3.4% |
| $380 | 6¢ | 6.5% | -43.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $370 | 6¢ | 6.1% | -0.4 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| $390 | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $52 | 35.9% |
| $400 | 2¢ | 2.1% | -11.9 pts | $10 | 6.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 4¢ (bid 96¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$145 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 13 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for Apple (AAPL) on the final trading day of October 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No". Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used. If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 58 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jealous-Bead | Yes | 58 | $57 |
| Better-Browsing | No | 50 | $1 |
| Previous-Observatory | Yes | 10 | $10 |
| Voluminous-Lava | No | 10 | $0 |
| Writhing-Retention | No | 5 | $0 |
| Cool-Storyboard | No | 3 | $0 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 03:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.9% | $58 |
| Oct 21, 03:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.7% | $52 |
| Oct 12, 11:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
| Oct 12, 11:47 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is $280 at 97.8%. Next is $330 at 52.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/aapl-above-in-october-2026?via=bro
$145 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 13 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 04:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.AAPL%2FUSD.
$280, priced at 97.8% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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