As of October 24, 2026, 08:05 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 98.2% in Anthropic acquired before 2027? — $30.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -0.8 pts; past month: -1.0 pts.
Since November 12, 2025, No has traded between 49.5% and 98.4%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 97.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.8% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 98.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.2% |
No is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98¢ | 98.2% | — | $30.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 2¢ | 1.8% | — | $30.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 2¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$30.9K has been traded on this event in total, $10 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if credible reporting confirms that any entity enters into an agreement to acquire Anthropic by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Mergers where Anthropic is subsumed by another entity will count toward a "Yes" resolution. An announced agreement between Anthropic and an acquiring entity will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, regardless of whether the acquisition is ultimately completed. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from Anthropic and/or its leadership, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,559 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hateful-Keyboarding | No | 1,559 | $1.5K |
| Empty-Addiction | Yes | 1,138 | $21 |
| Sparse-Toy | No | 1,000 | $981 |
| Dense-Stick | Yes | 892 | $17 |
| Secret-Allegation | No | 758 | $744 |
| Unaware-Footnote | Yes | 680 | $13 |
| Pleased-Danger | Yes | 500 | $9 |
| Pink-Daily | No | 362 | $355 |
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 356 | $349 |
| Worst-Illiteracy | Yes | 351 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:32 AM ET | No | SELL | 98.0% | $10 |
| Oct 22, 09:05 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 1.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 09:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.2% | $21 |
| Oct 21, 06:44 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 2.1% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 06:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $53 |
| Oct 21, 06:17 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.9% | $118 |
| Oct 14, 10:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $52 |
| Oct 14, 10:41 PM ET | No | BUY | 97.6% | $67 |
| Oct 13, 08:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.9% | $121 |
| Oct 11, 09:52 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.4% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 98.2%. Next is Yes at 1.8%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/anthropic-acquired-before-2027?via=bro
$30.9K in total volume, with $10 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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