Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Bank of Mexico Decision in November?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No change at 79.0% in Bank of Mexico Decision in November? — $100.0K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $1.7K.
Leading outcome
No change
79%
A 79.0% price implies roughly a 79-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts7D +4.0 pts30D +6.0 pts
No change79.0%
25 bps decrease20.0%
Bid
78¢
Ask
80¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 06, 2026: 54.5% – 95.0% · Opened at 78.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Bank of Mexico Decision in November?
Category
Mexico, Banxico, Economy, Finance, Global Rates, Macro Indicators, Recurring
Scheduled end
November 05, 2026, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$100.0K
Volume (24h)
$1.7K
Liquidity
$14.6K
Markets
5
Leading outcome
No change — 79.0%
Resolution source
https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, No change, is priced at 79.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: +4.0 pts; past month: +6.0 pts.

Since August 06, 2026, No change has traded between 54.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 78.5% and last traded at 81.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202678.5%
Oct 16, 202676.0%
Oct 18, 202676.5%
Oct 19, 202676.5%
Oct 20, 202660.5%
Oct 22, 202666.5%
Oct 23, 202681.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

No change is favored at 79.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
No change79¢79.0%-2.5 pts$49.4K49.4%
25 bps decrease20¢20.0%+3.0 pts$23.6K23.6%
25 bps increase0¢0.4%—$16.6K16.6%
50+ bps decrease0¢0.1%—$4.4K4.4%
50+ bps increase0¢0.1%—$5.9K5.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$100.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end November 05, 2026, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the target for the overnight interbank interest rate resulting from the November 2026 meeting of the Bank of Mexico, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Mexico, including the statement or release from its November 2026 meeting, scheduled for November 5, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar (https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Mexico resulting from its November 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 10,654 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No10,654$2.2K
Pretty-MotherYes3,208$2.5K
0xa832e7af…Yes1,840$1.5K
Outrageous-Durian-PawnshopYes1,025$810
0x8458d78b…Yes1,018$804
Liquid-ArgumentNo949$199
Fair-TanYes922$729
Ideal-PantherYes817$645
Knobby-ServitudeYes735$581
Fast-DownturnYes490$387

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $184 at 75.7%BUY Yes — $142 at 74.0%BUY No — $105 at 99.7%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 05:20 PM ETYesBUY20.9%$2
Oct 24, 04:59 PM ETYesSELL21.2%$4
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY75.7%$184
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY76.0%$49
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY76.0%$15
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETYesBUY76.0%$4
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETNoBUY75.5%$6
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETNoBUY75.6%$25
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETNoBUY77.2%$38
Oct 24, 04:54 PM ETNoBUY77.7%$15

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Bank of Mexico Decision in November??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No change at 79.0%. Next is 25 bps decrease at 20.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/bank-of-mexico-decision-in-november?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Bank of Mexico Decision in November??

$100.0K in total volume, with $1.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.

When does Bank of Mexico Decision in November? end?

The market is scheduled to end November 05, 2026, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp.

What is the most likely outcome of Bank of Mexico Decision in November?, according to Polymarket traders?

No change, priced at 79.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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