As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 3.0-3.5% at 40.9% in Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026? — $65.0K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 3.0-3.5%, is priced at 40.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.8 pts; past week: +8.8 pts; past month: +27.9 pts.
Since August 01, 2026, 3.0-3.5% has traded between 1.1% and 45.9%. It opened at 4.5% and last traded at 40.9%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 32.1% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 32.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 34.4% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 45.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 42.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 40.9% |
3.0-3.5% is favored at 40.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0-3.5% | 41¢ | 40.9% | -1.8 pts | $6.8K | 10.5% |
| 3.5%+ | 26¢ | 26.1% | +9.4 pts | $2.1K | 3.3% |
| 2.0-2.5% | 18¢ | 17.5% | -7.0 pts | $22.6K | 34.8% |
| 2.5-3.0% | 13¢ | 13.0% | +2.5 pts | $8.6K | 13.3% |
| 1.5-2.0% | 5¢ | 5.1% | -3.9 pts | $17.2K | 26.4% |
| 1.0-1.5% | 1¢ | 0.9% | — | $5.0K | 7.7% |
| 0.5-1.0% | 1¢ | 0.8% | +0.2 pts | $1.3K | 2.1% |
| <0.5% | 0¢ | 0.3% | +0.1 pts | $1.3K | 2.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 40¢ / ask 42¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$65.0K has been traded on this event in total, $1.8K of it in the last 24 hours, across 8 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,549 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,549 | $914 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 406 | $166 |
| Distorted-Scooter | Yes | 243 | $100 |
| Acidic-Puritan | No | 222 | $131 |
| Hideous-Racer | Yes | 209 | $85 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 164 | $67 |
| Quarterly-Locker | Yes | 155 | $63 |
| 0x7c9f14df… | Yes | 151 | $62 |
| Monumental-Tendency | Yes | 143 | $59 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 141 | $83 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.8% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 6.8% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 04:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 83.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 04:48 PM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 86.0% | $34 |
| Oct 24, 01:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 81.6% | $163 |
| Oct 24, 07:51 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $438 |
| Oct 24, 07:21 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 9.9% | $4 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 3.0-3.5% at 40.9%. Next is 3.5%+ at 26.1%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/mexico-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026?via=bro
$65.0K in total volume, with $1.8K traded in the last 24 hours across 8 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/.
3.0-3.5%, priced at 40.9% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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