As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1.0-1.2% at 46.5% in Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? — $69.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, 1.0-1.2%, is priced at 46.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +19.0 pts.
Since August 01, 2026, 1.0-1.2% has traded between 20.0% and 60.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 48.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 41.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 43.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 45.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 48.0% |
1.0-1.2% is favored at 46.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.0-1.2% | 46¢ | 46.5% | -4.0 pts | $30.8K | 44.7% |
| 0.7-0.9% | 32¢ | 32.5% | +5.0 pts | $10.9K | 15.7% |
| 1.3%+ | 10¢ | 10.5% | +1.5 pts | $16.8K | 24.3% |
| 0.4-0.6% | 8¢ | 8.4% | -3.5 pts | $3.2K | 4.6% |
| 0.1-0.3% | 2¢ | 1.5% | — | $4.2K | 6.0% |
| ≤0.0% | 1¢ | 0.6% | — | $3.2K | 4.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$69.1K has been traded on this event in total, $787 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.
This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolution source: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,962 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 1,962 | $1.0K |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 1,019 | $474 |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 860 | $400 |
| Rubbery-Curio | No | 260 | $139 |
| Winged-Layer | Yes | 183 | $85 |
| Speedy-Nibble | Yes | 144 | $67 |
| Grotesque-Mocha | No | 140 | $75 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 120 | $56 |
| 0x843e8947… | No | 114 | $61 |
| Arid-Cinema | No | 113 | $60 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:46 PM ET | No | SELL | 52.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 03:29 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 52.0% | $42 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 42.0% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 12.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 58.5% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:15 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 29.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.0% | $16 |
| Oct 24, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 71.0% | $13 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1.0-1.2% at 46.5%. Next is 0.7-0.9% at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/germany-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026?via=bro
$69.1K in total volume, with $787 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.
1.0-1.2%, priced at 46.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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