Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:33 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 1.0-1.2% at 46.5% in Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? — $69.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $787.
Leading outcome
1.0-1.2%
46%
A 46.5% price implies roughly a 46-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −4.0 pts7D +4.5 pts30D +19.0 pts
1.0-1.2%46.5%
0.7-0.9%32.5%
Bid
42¢
Ask
51¢
Spread
9¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 01, 2026: 20.0% – 60.5% · Opened at 37.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Category
GDP, Economy, Germany, Economic Policy, Macro Indicators, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET
Total volume
$69.1K
Volume (24h)
$787
Liquidity
$5.7K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
1.0-1.2% — 46.5%
Resolution source
https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 1.0-1.2%, is priced at 46.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -4.0 pts; past week: +4.5 pts; past month: +19.0 pts.

Since August 01, 2026, 1.0-1.2% has traded between 20.0% and 60.5%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 48.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202641.0%
Oct 16, 202641.0%
Oct 18, 202642.0%
Oct 19, 202643.0%
Oct 20, 202645.0%
Oct 23, 202652.0%
Oct 24, 202648.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

1.0-1.2% is favored at 46.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
1.0-1.2%46¢46.5%-4.0 pts$30.8K44.7%
0.7-0.9%32¢32.5%+5.0 pts$10.9K15.7%
1.3%+10¢10.5%+1.5 pts$16.8K24.3%
0.4-0.6%8¢8.4%-3.5 pts$3.2K4.6%
0.1-0.3%2¢1.5%—$4.2K6.0%
≤0.0%1¢0.6%—$3.2K4.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 9¢ (bid 42¢ / ask 51¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$69.1K has been traded on this event in total, $787 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve according to the German GDP growth rate (% change) on the same quarter a year earlier, price adjusted, as reported in the first release of the Destatis Gross Domestic Product press release for Q3 of 2026, expected to be released on October 30, 2026. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. The resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter, or as a part of the next estimate's publication; however, any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.

Resolution source: https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,962 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No1,962$1.0K
Wan-GymnasticsYes1,019$474
Awesome-AvailabilityYes860$400
Rubbery-CurioNo260$139
Winged-LayerYes183$85
Speedy-NibbleYes144$67
Grotesque-MochaNo140$75
Fair-TanYes120$56
0x843e8947…No114$61
Arid-CinemaNo113$60

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.2K at 69.8%BUY Yes — $71 at 49.0%SELL Yes — $60 at 13.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 04:46 PM ETNoSELL52.0%$2
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETNoBUY52.0%$10
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETNoBUY52.0%$42
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETYesBUY42.0%$8
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETYesBUY12.0%$1
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETNoBUY58.5%$12
Oct 24, 03:15 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$3
Oct 24, 11:13 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$18
Oct 24, 11:13 AM ETNoBUY91.0%$16
Oct 24, 11:13 AM ETNoBUY71.0%$13

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 1.0-1.2% at 46.5%. Next is 0.7-0.9% at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/germany-gdp-growth-in-q3-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026??

$69.1K in total volume, with $787 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 02:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.destatis.de/EN/Themes/Economy/National-Accounts-Domestic-Product/_node.html.

What is the most likely outcome of Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?, according to Polymarket traders?

1.0-1.2%, priced at 46.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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