Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)

As of October 24, 2026, 06:36 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 0.2 to 0.3% at 37.0% in Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) — $35.7K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $612.
Leading outcome
0.2 to 0.3%
37%
A 37.0% price implies roughly a 37-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +3.0 pts7D −1.5 pts
0.2 to 0.3%37.0%
0.0 to 0.1%32.5%
Bid
36¢
Ask
38¢
Spread
2¢
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Range since September 30, 2026: 14.5% – 49.0% · Opened at 15.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)
Category
GDP, Canada, Economy, Recurring, Macro Indicators
Scheduled end
October 30, 2026, 08:30 AM ET
Total volume
$35.7K
Volume (24h)
$612
Liquidity
$5.6K
Markets
6
Leading outcome
0.2 to 0.3% — 37.0%
Resolution source
https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 0.2 to 0.3%, is priced at 37.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +3.0 pts; past week: -1.5 pts.

Since September 30, 2026, 0.2 to 0.3% has traded between 14.5% and 49.0%. It opened at 15.0% and last traded at 37.0%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202634.5%
Oct 18, 202635.0%
Oct 19, 202635.5%
Oct 20, 202636.5%
Oct 22, 202624.5%
Oct 23, 202634.5%
Oct 24, 202637.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

0.2 to 0.3% is favored at 37.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
0.2 to 0.3%37¢37.0%+3.0 pts$9.5K26.6%
0.0 to 0.1%32¢32.5%-3.5 pts$14.7K41.2%
0.4 to 0.5%16¢16.0%—$7.7K21.7%
<-0.2%5¢5.2%-1.2 pts$1.3K3.7%
0.6%+3¢2.7%—$1.3K3.6%
-0.2 to -0.1%2¢2.5%-2.8 pts$1.1K3.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 36¢ / ask 38¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$35.7K has been traded on this event in total, $612 of it in the last 24 hours, across 6 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 08:30 AM ET.

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending August 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for August 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 951 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No951$599
Good-Natured-AngoraYes239$88
Simple-AttackYes233$86
Arid-CinemaNo150$94
Unselfish-Mineral-SundayYes126$47
Fair-TanYes121$45
Fitting-CostYes121$45
Sizzling-IncandescenceYes87$32
Direct-ChainstayNo82$52
Clear-Cut-TunaYes65$24

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $78 at 32.6%SELL No — $54 at 86.0%BUY Yes — $44 at 31.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 09:35 AM ETNoBUY62.0%$11
Oct 24, 08:51 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$1
Oct 24, 08:51 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$1
Oct 24, 08:41 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$1
Oct 24, 07:44 AM ETYesSELL30.0%$9
Oct 24, 06:51 AM ETYesBUY34.0%$9
Oct 24, 06:51 AM ETNoBUY68.1%$7
Oct 24, 06:51 AM ETYesBUY41.7%$12
Oct 24, 06:51 AM ETNoBUY85.0%$8
Oct 24, 05:00 AM ETNoBUY64.0%$1

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0-1.0% 47.1% · 24H VOL $991

Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026?

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)?

As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is 0.2 to 0.3% at 37.0%. Next is 0.0 to 0.1% at 32.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/canada-gdp-august-2026-mom?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM)?

$35.7K in total volume, with $612 traded in the last 24 hours across 6 markets.

When does Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM) end?

The market is scheduled to end October 30, 2026, 08:30 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm.

What is the most likely outcome of Canada GDP: August 2026 (MoM), according to Polymarket traders?

0.2 to 0.3%, priced at 37.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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