As of October 24, 2026, 07:47 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Morgan Wallen at 77.0% in Billboard #1 Artist 2026 — $256.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Morgan Wallen, is priced at 77.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.5 pts; past week: -2.2 pts; past month: -0.7 pts.
Since January 08, 2026, Morgan Wallen has traded between 4.9% and 88.8%. It opened at 25.5% and last traded at 76.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 79.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 79.3% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 78.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 79.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.4% |
Morgan Wallen is favored at 77.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morgan Wallen | 77¢ | 77.0% | +0.5 pts | $136.9K | 53.4% |
| Taylor Swift | 4¢ | 4.0% | — | $3.0K | 1.2% |
| Billie Eilish | 1¢ | 0.5% | — | $3.3K | 1.3% |
| Drake | 0¢ | 0.5% | — | $2.8K | 1.1% |
| Olivia Rodrigo | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $2.8K | 1.1% |
| Kendrick Lamar | 0¢ | 0.2% | -0.1 pts | $17.5K | 6.8% |
| Bad Bunny | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.2K | 0.8% |
| Tyler, The Creator | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.8K | 1.1% |
| Post Malone | 0¢ | 0.2% | — | $2.2K | 0.8% |
| Sabrina Carpenter | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $60.0K | 23.4% |
| SZA | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $4.7K | 1.8% |
| The Weeknd | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.6K | 0.6% |
| Luke Combs | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.7K | 1.0% |
| Zach Bryan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.7K | 1.0% |
| Doja Cat | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $2.3K | 0.9% |
| Ed Sheeran | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $9.1K | 3.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 76¢ / ask 78¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$256.5K has been traded on this event in total, $50 of it in the last 24 hours, across 34 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number 1 artist on the Billboard 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart. If Billboard does not publish a 2026 Year-End Top Artists chart by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Billboard Year-End 2026 Top Artists Chart, once it becomes available.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 6,887 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Energetic-Producer | Yes | 6,887 | $5.3K |
| Unlined-Pole | No | 6,020 | $1.4K |
| Awesome-Availability | Yes | 2,808 | $2.2K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 2,244 | $516 |
| Wan-Gymnastics | Yes | 2,106 | $1.6K |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 1,427 | $328 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 1,261 | $290 |
| Charming-Grape | No | 1,096 | $252 |
| Spiffy-Win | No | 794 | $183 |
| Scared-Administrator | Yes | 606 | $467 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 02:10 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 76.2% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 01:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 23.7% | $2 |
| Oct 22, 11:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 23.8% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 01:30 PM ET | No | BUY | 24.3% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:14 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 78.0% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 77.9% | $5 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 79.3% | $338 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.3% | $9 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 21.2% | $11 |
| Oct 21, 10:13 PM ET | No | BUY | 20.9% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Morgan Wallen at 77.0%. Next is Taylor Swift at 4.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/billboard-1-artist-2026?via=bro
$256.5K in total volume, with $50 traded in the last 24 hours across 34 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Morgan Wallen, priced at 77.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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