As of October 24, 2026, 09:15 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Sotheby's at 88.5% in Christie's vs Sotheby's: higher 2026 sales total? — $544 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Sotheby's, is priced at 88.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: -2.0 pts; past month: -32.0 pts.
Since September 09, 2026, Sotheby's has traded between 31.5% and 88.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 88.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 86.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 85.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 85.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 86.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 87.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 88.5% |
Sotheby's is favored at 88.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sotheby's | 88¢ | 88.5% | +1.0 pts | $544 | 100.0% |
| Christie's | 12¢ | 11.5% | -1.0 pts | $544 | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 10¢ / ask 13¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$544 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Christie's" if Christie's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year. This market will resolve to "Sotheby's" if Sotheby's announced total sales for the 2026 calendar year are greater than Christie's. For the purposes of this market, a house's "announced total sales" is the headline global full-year figure that the house itself publishes for the 2026 calendar year, including projections, in its own year-end results announcement or press release, expressed in US dollars. Each figure will be used exactly as the house publishes it, with no adjustment for differences in what the two houses include in their totals. In 2025, this included Christie's total global sales as reported by Christie's (see: https://press.christies.com/62b-projected-global-sales-in-2025/), and Sotheby's consolidated sales as reported by Sotheby's (see: https://www.sothebys.com/en/articles/sothebys-projects-2025-consolidated-sales-of-7-billion/). Both figures will be compared in US dollars. If a house publishes its full-year total in a currency other than US dollars, that house's own published US dollar figure for the same period will be used if one is published. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://press.christies.com/62b-projected-global-sales-in-2025/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 170 shares of Sotheby's.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sympathetic-Prevention | Sotheby's | 170 | $151 |
| Required-Rocker | Sotheby's | 62 | $54 |
| Known-Use | Christie's | 60 | $7 |
| Charming-Kidney-Imagination | Christie's | 40 | $5 |
| Tricky-Usher | Sotheby's | 34 | $31 |
| Pointed-Wilderness | Christie's | 29 | $3 |
| Tense-Flame-Logo | Christie's | 26 | $3 |
| Silky-Lining | Christie's | 26 | $3 |
| Exalted-Accounting | Christie's | 20 | $2 |
| Straight-Wrinkle | Christie's | 20 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 04:56 AM ET | Sothebys | BUY | 88.0% | $12 |
| Oct 18, 04:56 AM ET | Christies | SELL | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 16, 11:23 AM ET | Christies | BUY | 19.0% | $1 |
| Oct 15, 04:14 PM ET | Christies | BUY | 17.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 11:16 PM ET | Sothebys | SELL | 79.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 11:11 PM ET | Sothebys | SELL | 79.0% | $1 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Christies | SELL | 21.0% | $0 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Sothebys | BUY | 79.0% | $14 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Christies | SELL | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 05:34 PM ET | Sothebys | BUY | 79.0% | $16 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Sotheby's at 88.5%. Next is Christie's at 11.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/christies-vs-sothebys-higher-2026-sales-total?via=bro
$544 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://press.christies.com/62b-projected-global-sales-in-2025/.
Sotheby's, priced at 88.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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