As of October 24, 2026, 08:52 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 68.0% in Criminal charges in Pfizer building structural failure by December 31? — $4.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 68.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +5.0 pts; past week: -3.0 pts; past month: +7.0 pts.
Since July 14, 2026, No has traded between 57.5% and 89.5%. It opened at 82.0% and last traded at 68.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 65.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 57.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 66.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 70.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 68.5% |
No is favored at 68.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 68¢ | 68.0% | -5.0 pts | $4.3K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 32¢ | 32.0% | +5.0 pts | $4.3K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 30¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 47¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$4.3K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On July 7, fears of a partial building collapse lead New York City authorities to evacuate 235 East 42nd Street, also known as the Pfizer building, and surrounding areas. You can read more about that here: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual for conduct that caused or contributed to the structural issues that prompted evacuations relating to this building between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution source: https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 59 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Evil-Row | Yes | 59 | $19 |
| Direct-Chainstay | No | 57 | $39 |
| Known-Use | No | 40 | $27 |
| Snappy-Rooster | Yes | 20 | $6 |
| Plastic-Duck | Yes | 20 | $6 |
| Zigzag-Conspirator-Glee | No | 20 | $14 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 20 | $6 |
| Oddball-Poison | No | 5 | $3 |
| Scary-Neck-Vascular | Yes | 4 | $1 |
| Shabby-Personnel-Lift | Yes | 2 | $1 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 15, 06:34 PM ET | No | BUY | 55.0% | $11 |
| Oct 15, 04:22 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.0% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 10:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $6 |
| Oct 15, 08:59 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 25.0% | $5 |
| Oct 15, 08:49 AM ET | No | BUY | 72.0% | $32 |
| Oct 14, 07:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 18.0% | $4 |
| Oct 14, 05:38 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 20.0% | $4 |
| Oct 13, 08:32 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 21.0% | $4 |
| Oct 11, 01:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.0% | $30 |
| Oct 01, 07:30 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 20.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 68.0%. Next is Yes at 32.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/criminal-charges-in-pfizer-building-structural-failure-by-december-31-20260713154109326?via=bro
$4.3K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://apnews.com/article/nyc-manhattan-building-collapse-risk-04dfeb966e0daa2caba74006ad174ea1.
No, priced at 68.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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