As of October 24, 2026, 06:57 PM ET, Polymarket traders price March 31, 2027 at 25.5% in Crude Oil all time high by...? — $5.08M traded so far.
The leading outcome, March 31, 2027, is priced at 25.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.0 pts; past week: -1.5 pts.
Since October 08, 2026, March 31, 2027 has traded between 17.5% and 28.0%. It opened at 28.0% and last traded at 25.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 20.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 24.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 22.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 23.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 25.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 25.5% |
March 31, 2027 is favored at 25.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31, 2027 | 26¢ | 25.5% | +1.0 pts | $19.2K | 0.4% |
| December 31 | 14¢ | 13.5% | -1.0 pts | $2.05M | 40.3% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 26¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$5.08M has been traded on this event in total, $6.7K of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, on any trading day after market creation, the official daily high price published by the CME Group for the Active Month (front month) of CME Crude Oil (CL) futures is greater than $147.27 by the final trading day on or before the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example, if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration. This market will resolve as soon as a high price greater than the listed value is published, or once finalized data for the final trading day of the specified time period is published and a high price greater than $147.27 has not been achieved. The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website (https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html) — specifically, the daily "High" prices for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures. … (condensed)
Resolution source: https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 4,590 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Equatorial-Electrocardiogram | No | 4,590 | $3.4K |
| Snarling-Mile | Yes | 4,062 | $1.0K |
| Soupy-Exam | No | 3,450 | $2.6K |
| 0xfbfd14dd4bb607373119de95f1d4b21c3b6c0029 | Yes | 3,394 | $866 |
| Hideous-Racer | No | 2,500 | $1.9K |
| Whirlwind-Partnership | Yes | 2,093 | $534 |
| Intentional-Inhibition | Yes | 1,687 | $430 |
| Cheery-Preparation | No | 1,500 | $1.1K |
| Alienated-Horst | No | 1,109 | $826 |
| Aged-Ladybug-Version | Yes | 727 | $185 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $150 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 01:35 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $112 |
| Oct 24, 12:03 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 14.0% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 11:37 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $1.3K |
| Oct 24, 11:11 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $430 |
| Oct 24, 10:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 10:20 AM ET | No | SELL | 86.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 10:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 14.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 06:16 AM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is March 31, 2027 at 25.5%. Next is December 31 at 13.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/crude-oil-all-time-high-by?via=bro
$5.08M in total volume, with $6.7K traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/energy/crude-oil/light-sweet-crude.quotes.html.
March 31, 2027, priced at 25.5% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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