As of October 24, 2026, 06:25 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Mercedes at 98.2% in F1 Constructors' Champion — $29.20M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Mercedes, is priced at 98.2%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.9 pts; past week: -0.8 pts; past month: +2.3 pts.
Since December 09, 2025, Mercedes has traded between 31.5% and 99.4%. It opened at 36.0% and last traded at 98.2%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.1% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.2% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 98.2% |
Mercedes is favored at 98.2%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mercedes | 98¢ | 98.2% | -0.9 pts | $1.33M | 4.6% |
| Ferrari | 1¢ | 1.2% | +0.4 pts | $871.5K | 3.0% |
| McLaren | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $1.88M | 6.4% |
| Red Bull Racing | 0¢ | 0.1% | +0.1 pts | $1.14M | 3.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 98¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.20M has been traded on this event in total, $905 of it in the last 24 hours, across 5 markets.
This market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Constructors’ Championship for the 2026 F1 season. This market will resolve as soon as the official results of the final scheduled race of the 2026 F1 season are known. In the case of a tie between multiple teams, this market will resolve according to the tiebreak procedure used by F1 to determine the 2026 F1 Constructors’ champion. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 F1 Constructors’ Championship based on the rules of F1 (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from contention), the corresponding market will resolve to “No.” If the F1 season is permanently canceled or has not been completed by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be information from F1.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 259,395 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 259,395 | $4.5K |
| Big-Filly | Yes | 133,434 | $131.1K |
| Minor-Violet-Terrapin | Yes | 97,705 | $96.0K |
| Abandoned-Cloakroom | No | 78,930 | $1.4K |
| Wide-Firm | Yes | 55,775 | $54.8K |
| International-Hackwork | Yes | 18,745 | $18.4K |
| Known-Icing | No | 12,972 | $227 |
| Muddy-Noodles | Yes | 12,211 | $12.0K |
| Damaged-Bacon | No | 10,784 | $189 |
| Mammoth-Gel | Yes | 6,096 | $6.0K |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:55 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.6% | $101 |
| Oct 24, 11:56 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.7% | $63 |
| Oct 24, 08:31 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 97.9% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 03:05 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $163 |
| Oct 23, 11:46 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.3% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $36 |
| Oct 23, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.9% | $521 |
| Oct 23, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.1% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 05:21 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.1% | $6 |
| Oct 23, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 98.9% | $38 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Mercedes at 98.2%. Next is Ferrari at 1.2%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-constructors-champion?via=bro
$29.20M in total volume, with $905 traded in the last 24 hours across 5 markets.
The market is scheduled to end March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
Mercedes, priced at 98.2% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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