As of October 24, 2026, 06:27 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Max Verstappen at 79.0% in United States Grand Prix: Driver Podium Finish — $8.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Max Verstappen, is priced at 79.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +1.5 pts.
Since October 03, 2026, Max Verstappen has traded between 42.5% and 79.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 79.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 42.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 72.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 75.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 77.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 73.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 76.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 79.0% |
Max Verstappen is favored at 79.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Verstappen | 79¢ | 79.0% | +2.0 pts | $1.2K | 15.0% |
| Kimi Antonelli | 76¢ | 76.5% | +11.0 pts | $472 | 5.8% |
| Charles Leclerc | 47¢ | 47.0% | -5.5 pts | $1.3K | 16.0% |
| Lewis Hamilton | 37¢ | 37.0% | -1.5 pts | $2.4K | 29.8% |
| Isack Hadjar | 28¢ | 28.5% | +10.5 pts | $813 | 10.0% |
| Lando Norris | 22¢ | 21.5% | -7.5 pts | $510 | 6.3% |
| George Russell | 16¢ | 16.0% | -22.5 pts | $836 | 10.3% |
| Oscar Piastri | 10¢ | 10.0% | -10.0 pts | $493 | 6.1% |
| Fernando Alonso | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $10 | 0.1% |
| Alexander Albon | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Bortoleto | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Esteban Ocon | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Franco Colapinto | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Carlos Sainz Jr. | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Nico Hulkenberg | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Yuki Tsunoda | 5¢ | 5.0% | — | $10 | 0.1% |
| Oliver Bearman | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.1 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Arvid Lindblad | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.9 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawson | 5¢ | 4.9% | +1.8 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| Sergio Perez | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $10 | 0.1% |
| Pierre Gasly | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Lance Stroll | 5¢ | 4.8% | — | $10 | 0.1% |
| Valtteri Bottas | 0¢ | 0.1% | -4.8 pts | $20 | 0.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 78¢ / ask 80¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$8.1K has been traded on this event in total, $3.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 23 markets.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed driver finishes within the top three positions in the official "Final Classification" for the F1 United States Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The "Final Classification" is published by the FIA following the conclusion of the race and includes any applied time penalties and official adjustments. It is typically released 30-60 minutes after the race ends. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the "Final Classification" will not affect market resolution. The timing of the podium ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only the FIA's published classification will be used to resolve this market. If the United States Grand Prix is postponed, this market will remain open until the event has been completed. If the United States Grand Prix is permanently canceled, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 403 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fortunate-Tweezers | No | 403 | $85 |
| Elderly-Almighty | No | 340 | $71 |
| Youthful-Point-Angina | Yes | 328 | $259 |
| Cuddly-Folder | No | 312 | $66 |
| Attentive-Crewman | Yes | 267 | $211 |
| 0x75c53f5b… | Yes | 200 | $158 |
| 0x80658f62… | Yes | 112 | $89 |
| Flickering-Chime | Yes | 88 | $69 |
| Purple-Calculator | Yes | 73 | $57 |
| Automatic-Hardcover | Yes | 41 | $32 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 36.8% | $27 |
| Oct 24, 05:53 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 39.0% | $26 |
| Oct 24, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 40.0% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 35.0% | $55 |
| Oct 24, 05:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.2% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 05:46 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.0% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:40 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 42.1% | $15 |
| Oct 24, 05:04 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 22.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:10 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 62.0% | $10 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is Max Verstappen at 79.0%. Next is Kimi Antonelli at 76.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/f1-united-states-grand-prix-driver-podium-2026-10-25?via=bro
$8.1K in total volume, with $3.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 23 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 03:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races.
Max Verstappen, priced at 79.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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