As of October 24, 2026, 06:32 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 95.0% in Rain during the United States Grand Prix? — $2.7K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 95.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.1 pts.
Since October 22, 2026, No has traded between 81.5% and 95.0%. It opened at 81.5% and last traded at 95.0%.
No is favored at 95.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95¢ | 95.0% | +2.1 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 5¢ | 5.0% | -2.1 pts | $2.7K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 8¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 9¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$2.7K has been traded on this event in total, $340 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market resolves "Yes" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix registers 'Wet' at any point during the Race session for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix taking place on October 25, 2026. This market will resolve "No" if the RAINFALL trace on the FIA Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix does not register 'Wet' at any point. This market covers the Race session only. Rain during Free Practice, Qualifying, Sprint or any other session does not affect this market's resolution. If the Race is suspended or restarted, the FIA Race Weather Report covering the complete, final classified running of the Race is the resolution source. If the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix is canceled or postponed to a date after November 2, 2026, this market resolves "No". Declarations by Race Control that "the track is wet", broadcast commentary, news reporting, or any other secondary sources do not qualify for resolution, only the FIA's official Race Weather Report for the 2026 F1 United States Grand Prix will qualify. If the FIA Race Weather Report has not been published by November 2, 2026, this market will resolve to "No". … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 487 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Harmful-Raincoat-Godfather | No | 487 | $463 |
| Perfumed-Moat | Yes | 280 | $14 |
| Weird-Ephemeris-Exception | No | 132 | $125 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 86 | $4 |
| Mixed-Morsel-Embossing | Yes | 60 | $3 |
| Direct-Chainstay | Yes | 57 | $3 |
| Interesting-Elite | Yes | 50 | $2 |
| Honorable-Dinghy | No | 50 | $48 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | Yes | 23 | $1 |
| Frozen-Wrist | No | 22 | $21 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $59 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.1% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:43 PM ET | No | BUY | 98.9% | $49 |
| Oct 24, 11:43 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 06:21 PM ET | No | SELL | 97.8% | $166 |
| Oct 23, 05:08 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $20 |
| Oct 23, 04:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 12.0% | $2 |
| Oct 23, 04:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 84.5% | $446 |
| Oct 23, 04:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 87.0% | $17 |
| Oct 23, 08:53 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 95.0%. Next is Yes at 5.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/will-it-rain-during-the-united-states-grand-prix?via=bro
$2.7K in total volume, with $340 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 01, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 95.0% as of October 24, 2026, 06:19 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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