As of October 24, 2026, 08:06 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31 at 28.5% in Google x SpaceX agree to put data centers in space by...? — $29.1K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, is priced at 28.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +3.5 pts; past month: +19.0 pts.
Since June 09, 2026, December 31 has traded between 9.5% and 80.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 28.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 28.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 21.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 29.5% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 28.5% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 28.5% |
December 31 is favored at 28.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 28¢ | 28.5% | — | $5.4K | 18.7% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 28¢ / ask 29¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$29.1K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Google LLC and SpaceX officially announce an agreement related to launching, developing, operating, or partnering on orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Qualifying agreements include launch agreements, strategic partnerships, joint ventures, infrastructure agreements, or other formal commercial arrangements directly related to orbital data centers or space-based computing infrastructure. Announcements by Google, SpaceX, Alphabet Inc., or their authorized representatives will qualify, regardless of whether the agreement has closed, been fully executed, or entered into force. Non-binding discussions, reports of negotiations, rumors, exploratory talks, or agreements unrelated to orbital data centers or orbital computing infrastructure will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Google, Alphabet, or SpaceX, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,331 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tough-Garter | Yes | 1,331 | $379 |
| Clumsy-Sleet | No | 482 | $345 |
| Well-Made-Public | No | 191 | $137 |
| Lovely-Sailor | No | 163 | $117 |
| Remarkable-Underpass | No | 150 | $107 |
| Pleasing-Excellence | No | 132 | $94 |
| Ordinary-Marker | No | 125 | $89 |
| Empty-Sculptural-Expression | No | 100 | $72 |
| Wobbly-Chain | No | 100 | $72 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 73 | $52 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 02:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 12:58 AM ET | No | BUY | 75.0% | $15 |
| Oct 19, 01:36 PM ET | No | BUY | 73.0% | $22 |
| Oct 18, 11:59 PM ET | No | SELL | 72.0% | $7 |
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 22.0% | $24 |
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 32.5% | $6 |
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | No | BUY | 79.0% | $14 |
| Oct 18, 10:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $8 |
| Oct 18, 04:24 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 21.0% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31 at 28.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/google-x-spacex-agree-to-put-data-centers-in-space-by-june-30?via=bro
$29.1K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, priced at 28.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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