Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner

As of October 24, 2026, 08:03 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Ella Langley at 60.5% in Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner — $35.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $487.
Leading outcome
Ella Langley
60%
A 60.5% price implies roughly a 60-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −1.0 pts7D +1.0 pts30D −3.0 pts
Ella Langley60.5%
Placeholder a50.0%
Bid
60¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since August 06, 2026: 38.5% – 66.5% · Opened at 42.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner
Category
Music, Awards, Culture, Grammys
Scheduled end
June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$35.5K
Volume (24h)
$487
Liquidity
$96.3K
Markets
73
Leading outcome
Ella Langley — 60.5%
Resolution source
https://www.grammy.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Ella Langley, is priced at 60.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.0 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -3.0 pts.

Since August 06, 2026, Ella Langley has traded between 38.5% and 66.5%. It opened at 42.0% and last traded at 60.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202659.5%
Oct 18, 202660.5%
Oct 19, 202660.5%
Oct 20, 202662.5%
Oct 22, 202663.5%
Oct 23, 202661.5%
Oct 24, 202660.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Ella Langley is favored at 60.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Ella Langley60¢60.5%-1.0 pts$15.8K44.5%
Placeholder a50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder b50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder c50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder d50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder e50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder f50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder g50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder h50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder i50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder j50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder k50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder l50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder m50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder n50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder o50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder p50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder q50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder r50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder s50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder t50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder u50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder v50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder w50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder x50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder y50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder z50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder aa50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ab50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ac50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ad50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ae50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder af50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ag50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ah50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ai50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder aj50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ak50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder al50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder am50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder an50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ao50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Placeholder ap50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
SIENNA SPIRO28¢27.5%-0.5 pts$6.0K17.0%
Slayyyter4¢4.3%+0.2 pts$6491.8%
Adéla3¢2.6%-0.7 pts$5341.5%
PARTYOF23¢2.5%+1.7 pts$4451.3%
Renee Rapp2¢2.5%-0.4 pts$8952.5%
The Beaches2¢2.1%+0.4 pts$4501.3%
Magdalena Bay2¢2.0%+1.2 pts$4551.3%
CMAT2¢1.8%-1.8 pts$4891.4%
Black Country, New Road2¢1.8%+1.5 pts$4511.3%
Oklou2¢1.8%+1.5 pts$4541.3%
Dijon0¢0.5%—$4521.3%
Megan Moroney0¢0.4%—$4171.2%
Jessie Murph0¢0.4%+0.1 pts$4911.4%
Mk.gee0¢0.4%+0.1 pts$4741.3%
SAILORR0¢0.4%+0.1 pts$4911.4%
Skye Newman0¢0.4%—$4701.3%
Ninajirachi0¢0.4%—$4721.3%
Bella Kay0¢0.4%—$3951.1%
EsDeeKid0¢0.4%+0.1 pts$4711.3%
JADE0¢0.4%—$4801.4%
BigXthaPlug0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$4851.4%
The Last Dinner Party0¢0.4%—$4911.4%
Yazmin Lacey0¢0.4%-0.1 pts$4911.4%
Loe Shimmy0¢0.4%—$4561.3%
Sasha Keable0¢0.3%—$4831.4%
Jordan Ward0¢0.3%—$4651.3%
Model/Actriz0¢0.3%—$4821.4%
Geese0¢0.2%—$4341.2%
Nami0¢0.2%—$4321.2%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 60¢ / ask 61¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$35.5K has been traded on this event in total, $487 of it in the last 24 hours, across 73 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

The GRAMMY Awards are presented annually by the Recording Academy. For the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards, nominations are scheduled for November 16, 2026, and the ceremony for February 7, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed artist that wins Best New Artist at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards. If an artist is not officially nominated for Best New Artist when the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source will be the television broadcast of the awards and the Grammy website (https://www.grammy.com/); however, other credible reporting may be used.

Resolution source: https://www.grammy.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,726 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Awesome-AvailabilityNo1,726$682
Whimsical-SellerYes926$560
0xa5ef39c3…No538$212
Tough-Bout-ZootsuitYes221$134
Gifted-RancherYes186$113
Plush-LoftNo166$66
Luminous-Abolishment-WedgeYes161$97
Sane-DocumentationYes160$97
Expensive-StruggleYes156$94
Poor-SeaYes155$94

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL Yes — $95 at 61.0%SELL No — $50 at 99.8%BUY Yes — $34 at 29.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:18 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$5
Oct 24, 03:18 PM ETYesBUY29.0%$6
Oct 24, 01:32 PM ETNoSELL40.0%$2
Oct 24, 01:32 PM ETNoBUY41.0%$1
Oct 24, 01:30 PM ETYesBUY59.0%$3
Oct 24, 11:17 AM ETYesBUY29.0%$9
Oct 24, 10:51 AM ETYesBUY59.0%$13
Oct 24, 08:32 AM ETYesBUY59.0%$12
Oct 24, 08:31 AM ETYesBUY59.0%$3
Oct 24, 02:47 AM ETYesSELL60.0%$0

Related markets

More Music

Grammys 2027: Best Rap Album Winner

Placeholder f - TBD Artist 50.0% · 24H VOL $5.2K

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 90.0% · 24H VOL $3.8K

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 62.8% · 24H VOL $3.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Ella Langley at 60.5%. Next is Placeholder a at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/grammys-2027-best-new-artist-winner-1754500000000?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner?

$35.5K in total volume, with $487 traded in the last 24 hours across 73 markets.

When does Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner end?

The market is scheduled to end June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.grammy.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Grammys 2027: Best New Artist Winner, according to Polymarket traders?

Ella Langley, priced at 60.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.