As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 96.6% in GTA 6 launch postponed again? — $887.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 96.6%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +0.4 pts; past month: -2.6 pts.
Since November 07, 2025, No has traded between 45.5% and 97.0%. It opened at 72.5% and last traded at 96.6%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 96.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 96.7% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 96.6% |
No is favored at 96.6%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97¢ | 96.6% | — | $887.6K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 3¢ | 3.4% | — | $887.6K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 3¢ / ask 4¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$887.6K has been traded on this event in total, $10.6K of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
On November 6, 2025, Take-Two Interactive, the parent company of Rockstar Games, announced that the launch of Grand Theft Auto VI (GTA VI) would be postponed from its previously scheduled release date of May 26, 2026, to a new release date of November 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive, officially announces that Grand Theft Auto VI will not be released by November 19, 2026, or if Grand Theft Auto VI is otherwise not released in the US by November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source will be official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 135,239 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Detailed-Poison | No | 135,239 | $130.6K |
| Delightful-Creche | Yes | 50,000 | $1.7K |
| Upright-Snug | No | 36,851 | $35.6K |
| Imperturbable-Antelope | Yes | 27,765 | $944 |
| Strange-Icicle | No | 26,654 | $25.7K |
| Composed-Creditor | Yes | 16,374 | $557 |
| Dense-Attitude | Yes | 10,194 | $347 |
| Lone-Glutamate | No | 10,102 | $9.8K |
| 0xef97d61b… | No | 10,000 | $9.7K |
| Distant-Proponent | Yes | 9,000 | $306 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:44 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 12:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $9.7K |
| Oct 24, 10:58 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:03 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $193 |
| Oct 24, 08:33 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $13 |
| Oct 24, 06:10 AM ET | No | SELL | 96.6% | $7 |
| Oct 24, 06:01 AM ET | No | BUY | 96.7% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 04:03 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $5 |
| Oct 23, 04:02 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.5% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 03:26 PM ET | No | SELL | 96.5% | $29 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 96.6%. Next is Yes at 3.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/gta-6-launch-postponed-again?via=bro
$887.6K in total volume, with $10.6K traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end November 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 96.6% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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