As of October 24, 2026, 09:08 PM ET, Polymarket traders price ≥95 mph at 81.0% in Highest Mt. Washington wind speed in October? — $1.3K traded so far.
The leading outcome, ≥95 mph, is priced at 81.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.1 pts; past week: -14.1 pts.
Since September 30, 2026, ≥95 mph has traded between 50.0% and 98.5%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 85.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 98.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 95.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 84.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 81.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 85.5% |
≥95 mph is favored at 81.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≥95 mph | 81¢ | 81.0% | -2.1 pts | $170 | 13.4% |
| ≥110 mph | 76¢ | 76.0% | -0.5 pts | $275 | 21.6% |
| ≥100 mph | 76¢ | 75.8% | -5.2 pts | $170 | 13.4% |
| ≥105 mph | 69¢ | 68.8% | -10.9 pts | $294 | 23.1% |
| ≥115 mph | 56¢ | 56.5% | -0.5 pts | $361 | 28.4% |
| ≥120 mph | 38¢ | 37.5% | -12.5 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
| ≥125 mph | 37¢ | 37.0% | -13.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 38¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.3K has been traded on this event in total, $271 of it in the last 24 hours, across 7 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve based on the highest wind speed, in miles per hour, reported on the summit of Mt. Washington in New Hampshire in October, 2026. The resolution source will be data published by the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory. F6 reports containing daily wind speed recordings can be found here: https://mountwashington.org/weather/mount-washington-weather-archives/monthly-f6/. The resolution source for this market measures wind speeds to whole mile per hour (eg, 67mph). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to the wind speed recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following month has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered. In the case of missing data from the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory, this market will remain open until the last calendar day of the following month, to allow for publication. If the Mt. Washington Weather Observatory has not published the relevant data by the last calendar day of the following month, this market will resolve to No. … (condensed)
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 120 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x1767e080… | Yes | 120 | $98 |
| Belated-Glue | No | 110 | $21 |
| Playful-Iridescence | Yes | 50 | $40 |
| Good-Gram-Prostacyclin | No | 50 | $10 |
| Voluminous-Lava | No | 10 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 09:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 08:05 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:09 AM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 11:07 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 99.0% | $100 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 5.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 09:57 AM ET | No | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:01 PM ET | No | BUY | 1.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 07:33 PM ET | No | BUY | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 09:11 AM ET | No | BUY | 4.8% | $1 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is ≥95 mph at 81.0%. Next is ≥110 mph at 76.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/highest-mtpt-washington-wind-speed-in-october-20260928t160000000z?via=bro
$1.3K in total volume, with $271 traded in the last 24 hours across 7 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
≥95 mph, priced at 81.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.