As of October 24, 2026, 08:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 85.0% in Justin & Hailey Bieber split in 2026? — $9.9K traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 85.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -1.8 pts; past week: +6.4 pts; past month: +4.8 pts.
Since January 20, 2026, No has traded between 52.0% and 96.0%. It opened at 52.0% and last traded at 85.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 90.3% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 91.8% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 92.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 91.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 91.6% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 83.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 85.0% |
No is favored at 85.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 85¢ | 85.0% | +1.8 pts | $9.9K | 100.0% |
| Yes | 15¢ | 15.0% | -1.8 pts | $9.9K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 15¢ / ask 15¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$9.9K has been traded on this event in total, $33 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Justin Bieber and/or Hailey Bieber announce their intention to legally separate or divorce between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET of their intention to separate or divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the separation or divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual separation or divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Justin Bieber, Hailey Bieber, and/or their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 521 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aggressive-Polenta | No | 521 | $443 |
| Compassionate-Lawsuit | No | 411 | $349 |
| Daring-Blinker | Yes | 260 | $39 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 225 | $34 |
| Evil-Row | Yes | 194 | $29 |
| Beneficial-Kielbasa | No | 100 | $85 |
| Compassionate-Jumbo | Yes | 84 | $13 |
| Obedient-Population | Yes | 82 | $12 |
| Vengeful-Emanate | Yes | 63 | $9 |
| Open-Mining | No | 51 | $43 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 03:50 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $1 |
| Oct 24, 01:28 PM ET | No | BUY | 85.0% | $6 |
| Oct 24, 11:28 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $4 |
| Oct 23, 04:52 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 15.0% | $3 |
| Oct 12, 04:11 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.3% | $1 |
| Oct 10, 10:43 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 3.4% | $1 |
| Sep 22, 09:23 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.5% | $1 |
| Sep 18, 12:15 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.9% | $53 |
| Aug 26, 07:38 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $1 |
| Aug 01, 06:38 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 3.9% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 85.0%. Next is Yes at 15.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/justin-hailey-bieber-split-in-2026?via=bro
$9.9K in total volume, with $33 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 85.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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