As of October 24, 2026, 07:44 PM ET, Polymarket traders price No at 99.4% in Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? — $1.07M traded so far.
The leading outcome, No, is priced at 99.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +0.2 pts; past month: -14.3 pts.
Since August 19, 2026, No has traded between 18.5% and 99.9%. It opened at 37.5% and last traded at 99.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 99.6% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 99.4% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 99.7% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 99.7% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 99.6% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 99.4% |
No is favored at 99.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No | 99¢ | 99.4% | -0.2 pts | $1.07M | 100.0% |
| Yes | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.2 pts | $1.07M | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 0¢ / ask 1¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.07M has been traded on this event in total, $296 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Ye, formerly known as Kanye West, is scheduled to perform in Russia in October 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kanye West performs live in-person on-stage in front of a live audience in Russia by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The performance must take place at an event that was announced or promoted in advance, and held at a venue such as an arena, stadium, festival ground, concert hall, theater, or club, and is open to an audience by ticket, invitation, or other controlled entry. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 80,000 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Husky-Offset | Yes | 80,000 | $480 |
| Flawed-Molecule | No | 68,529 | $68.1K |
| Pleasant-Republican | Yes | 34,966 | $210 |
| Flashy-Label | No | 30,419 | $30.2K |
| Blissful-Login | Yes | 17,917 | $108 |
| Firsthand-Booster | No | 10,000 | $9.9K |
| Damp-Kickoff-Dump | No | 9,898 | $9.8K |
| Dramatic-Sheep | No | 8,952 | $8.9K |
| Unacceptable-Thongs-Cravat | Yes | 6,595 | $40 |
| Hopeful-Mug | Yes | 5,921 | $36 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 07:40 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.3% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:19 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.5% | $11 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.4% | $8 |
| Oct 24, 12:49 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.6% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:04 PM ET | No | SELL | 99.1% | $208 |
| Oct 24, 09:04 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.4% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:12 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $50 |
| Oct 23, 09:41 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.5% | $558 |
| Oct 23, 08:17 AM ET | No | SELL | 99.6% | $622 |
| Oct 23, 05:48 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 0.3% | $0 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is No at 99.4%. Next is Yes at 0.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/kanye-west-performs-in-russia-by-october-31?via=bro
$1.07M in total volume, with $296 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
No, priced at 99.4% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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