Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:28 PM ET, Polymarket traders price 7°C at 50.0% in Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25? — $40 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $40.
Leading outcome
7°C
50%
A 50.0% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +12.0 pts
7°C50.0%
8°C50.0%
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since October 24, 2026: 49.5% – 50.0% · Opened at 49.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25?
Category
Weather, Recurring, Hide From New, Daily Temperature, Beijing, Lowest temperature
Scheduled end
October 25, 2026, 08:00 AM ET
Total volume
$40
Volume (24h)
$40
Liquidity
$867
Markets
11
Leading outcome
7°C — 50.0%
Resolution source
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=ZBAA&format=raw&date=2026-10-25T19:00:00Z&hours=30

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, 7°C, is priced at 50.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +12.0 pts.

Since October 24, 2026, 7°C has traded between 49.5% and 50.0%. It opened at 49.5% and last traded at 50.0%.

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

7°C is favored at 50.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
7°C50¢50.0%+12.0 pts$00.0%
8°C50¢50.0%+12.0 pts$00.0%
11°C50¢49.5%+12.0 pts$00.0%
12°C50¢49.5%+12.0 pts$00.0%
9°C49¢49.0%+11.0 pts$00.0%
10°C49¢49.0%+11.5 pts$00.0%
6°C38¢37.5%+0.5 pts$00.0%
5°C37¢37.0%—$00.0%
4°C or below9¢9.0%-15.5 pts$00.0%
13°C0¢0.1%-37.0 pts$2562.5%
14°C or higher0¢0.1%-24.9 pts$1537.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

How much has been traded?

Volume

$40 has been traded on this event in total, $40 of it in the last 24 hours, across 11 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 AM ET.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature reported at Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on 25 Oct '26. The qualifying value is the lowest temperature reported in the hourly temperature remark of any routine (METAR) observation for Beijing Capital International Airport (ZBAA) on that date, in tenths of a degree Celsius as reported. A report whose line begins with SPECI is a special observation and does not count. Every other report is routine, including one issued off the nominal hour and one that carries no METAR or SPECI label. For How to Read the METAR Report, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Weather/How+to+Read+the+METAR+Report.pdf The hourly temperature remark is the group beginning with the letter T followed by exactly eight digits. After the T, one digit for sign (0 positive, 1 negative) and three for tenths of a degree Celsius give the temperature; the following four are the dew point and are not used. T01390133 is 13.9°C; T10171022 is −1.7°C. If a routine observation does not carry the hourly temperature remark, the temperature group in the body of that observation governs for that observation, in whole degrees Celsius as reported. It appears as temperature and dew point separated by a slash, with M marking a negative value: 18/12 is 18°C; M11/M17 is −11°C. … (condensed)

Resolution source: https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=ZBAA&format=raw&date=2026-10-25T19:00:00Z&hours=30

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $25 at 99.9%BUY No — $15 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 03:35 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$25
Oct 24, 12:29 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$15

Related markets

More Weather

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET, the leading outcome is 7°C at 50.0%. Next is 8°C at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/lowest-temperature-in-beijing-on-october-25-2026?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25??

$40 in total volume, with $40 traded in the last 24 hours across 11 markets.

When does Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 08:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=ZBAA&format=raw&date=2026-10-25T19:00:00Z&hours=30.

What is the most likely outcome of Lowest temperature in Beijing on October 25?, according to Polymarket traders?

7°C, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:25 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.