As of October 24, 2026, 06:56 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Jack Lowden at 37.8% in Next James Bond actor? — $1.64M traded so far.
The leading outcome, Jack Lowden, is priced at 37.8%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.9 pts; past month: -0.8 pts.
Since May 18, 2026, Jack Lowden has traded between 3.8% and 49.5%. It opened at 27.0% and last traded at 37.8%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 33.4% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 26.9% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 25.9% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 26.2% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 35.9% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 37.9% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 37.8% |
Jack Lowden is favored at 37.8%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Lowden | 38¢ | 37.8% | — | $292.5K | 17.8% |
| No Bond chosen | 19¢ | 19.4% | +0.9 pts | $610.4K | 37.2% |
| Callum Turner | 16¢ | 16.1% | -2.5 pts | $120.1K | 7.3% |
| Josh O'Connor | 8¢ | 7.7% | -4.0 pts | $36.6K | 2.2% |
| Jacob Elordi | 6¢ | 5.7% | +0.4 pts | $45.9K | 2.8% |
| James Norton | 5¢ | 4.6% | +2.4 pts | $37.4K | 2.3% |
| Jack Barton | 3¢ | 3.0% | -0.5 pts | $77.0K | 4.7% |
| Tom Francis | 3¢ | 2.8% | +0.1 pts | $32.1K | 2.0% |
| Henry Cavill | 2¢ | 2.5% | +2.2 pts | $26.4K | 1.6% |
| Jack O'Connell | 1¢ | 1.4% | +0.4 pts | $46.2K | 2.8% |
| Harris Dickinson | 1¢ | 1.2% | — | $35.8K | 2.2% |
| Richard Madden | 1¢ | 0.6% | +0.3 pts | $28.1K | 1.7% |
| Paul Mescal | 0¢ | 0.2% | +0.1 pts | $26.4K | 1.6% |
| Theo James | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $44.7K | 2.7% |
| Tom Hardy | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $27.3K | 1.7% |
| Tom Holland | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $18.3K | 1.1% |
| Aaron Taylor-Johnson | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $37.7K | 2.3% |
| Pierce Brosnan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $15.9K | 1.0% |
| Robert James-Collier | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $8.7K | 0.5% |
| Timothee Chalamet | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $18.4K | 1.1% |
| Michael B Jordan | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $12.5K | 0.8% |
| Nicholas Galitzine | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $13.4K | 0.8% |
| Jonathan Bailey | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $13.8K | 0.8% |
| Tom Blyth | 0¢ | 0.1% | — | $14.1K | 0.9% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 37¢ / ask 39¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$1.64M has been traded on this event in total, $13.4K of it in the last 24 hours, across 49 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40,653 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Intrepid-Skate-Security | Yes | 40,653 | $15.4K |
| 0xa5ef39c3… | No | 32,158 | $20.0K |
| Whimsical-Terminal | No | 25,595 | $15.9K |
| Awesome-Availability | No | 14,819 | $9.2K |
| Ample-Instance | Yes | 7,371 | $2.8K |
| Female-Populist | Yes | 5,500 | $2.1K |
| Caring-Eclipse | No | 3,287 | $2.0K |
| Sudden-Derby | No | 2,770 | $1.7K |
| Hard-To-Find-Consent | Yes | 2,324 | $879 |
| Shocked-Hormone | Yes | 2,243 | $848 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | No | BUY | 81.2% | $37 |
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | No | SELL | 80.1% | $183 |
| Oct 24, 05:57 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 19.1% | $22 |
| Oct 24, 04:45 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 04:44 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 16.0% | $4 |
| Oct 24, 04:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 38.2% | $19 |
| Oct 24, 04:31 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.9% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 02:50 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 18.7% | $2 |
| Oct 24, 02:49 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 37.9% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 01:20 PM ET | No | SELL | 62.0% | $6 |
As of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET, the leading outcome is Jack Lowden at 37.8%. Next is No Bond chosen at 19.4%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/next-james-bond-actor-398?via=bro
$1.64M in total volume, with $13.4K traded in the last 24 hours across 49 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Jack Lowden, priced at 37.8% as of October 24, 2026, 06:53 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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