As of October 24, 2026, 08:12 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Nothing at 97.4% in Nothing Ever Happens: October — $21.5K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Nothing, is priced at 97.4%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: +1.9 pts.
Since September 29, 2026, Nothing has traded between 87.5% and 97.4%. It opened at 88.0% and last traded at 97.4%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 94.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 94.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 95.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 96.2% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 97.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 97.4% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 97.4% |
Nothing is favored at 97.4%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nothing | 97¢ | 97.4% | — | $21.5K | 100.0% |
| Something | 3¢ | 2.6% | — | $21.5K | 100.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 97¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$21.5K has been traded on this event in total, $25 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Something” if any of the following conditions are met between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET: - WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hits ↑ $150 - Bitcoin all time high - Any G7 leader out (Carney, Macron, Merz, Meloni, Takaichi, Burnham, Trump) - US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal - Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire - Putin out as President of Russia - Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president - Fed rate cut - Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed - Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Nothing”. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/NEH/NEH_Oct_26.pdf
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 7,577 shares of Something.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Personal-Bake | Something | 7,577 | $197 |
| Blaring-Surge | Nothing | 5,780 | $5.6K |
| Forthright-Challenge | Nothing | 2,212 | $2.2K |
| Silent-Obsidian | Nothing | 1,638 | $1.6K |
| Worldly-Dump | Something | 1,406 | $37 |
| Weepy-Sorbet | Something | 755 | $20 |
| Ajar-Sportsman | Something | 500 | $13 |
| Burly-Chronometer | Nothing | 420 | $409 |
| Fake-Polyester | Something | 413 | $11 |
| Prickly-Signup | Nothing | 400 | $390 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 06:24 AM ET | Nothing | SELL | 97.1% | $24 |
| Oct 23, 02:30 PM ET | Nothing | BUY | 97.6% | $10 |
| Oct 23, 04:48 AM ET | Something | SELL | 2.4% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 03:42 PM ET | Nothing | SELL | 97.1% | $1 |
| Oct 22, 12:02 PM ET | Nothing | SELL | 97.1% | $2 |
| Oct 21, 10:26 AM ET | Something | SELL | 2.4% | $3 |
| Oct 21, 05:38 AM ET | Nothing | BUY | 97.6% | $10 |
| Oct 21, 04:50 AM ET | Something | BUY | 3.5% | $0 |
| Oct 21, 01:28 AM ET | Something | BUY | 3.5% | $1 |
| Oct 21, 01:24 AM ET | Something | BUY | 3.5% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Nothing at 97.4%. Next is Something at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/nothing-ever-happens-october-26?via=bro
$21.5K in total volume, with $25 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.
Nothing, priced at 97.4% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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