Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round

As of October 24, 2026, 08:18 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kansas City Chiefs at 68.0% in Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round — $11.6K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $52.
Leading outcome
Kansas City Chiefs
68%
A 68.0% price implies roughly a 68-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +4.5 pts30D −8.5 pts
Kansas City Chiefs68.0%
Buffalo Bills67.5%
Bid
67¢
Ask
69¢
Spread
2¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 02, 2026: 12.0% – 82.0% · Opened at 50.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round
Category
AFC, NFL (All), Sports, football, NFL Playoffs
Scheduled end
January 19, 2027, 06:59 PM ET
Total volume
$11.6K
Volume (24h)
$52
Liquidity
$18.9K
Markets
16
Leading outcome
Kansas City Chiefs — 68.0%
Resolution source
https://www.nfl.com/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Kansas City Chiefs, is priced at 68.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +4.5 pts; past month: -8.5 pts.

Since September 02, 2026, Kansas City Chiefs has traded between 12.0% and 82.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 68.0%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202663.5%
Oct 16, 202663.5%
Oct 18, 202659.5%
Oct 19, 202662.0%
Oct 20, 202678.0%
Oct 23, 202668.0%
Oct 24, 202668.0%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Kansas City Chiefs is favored at 68.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Kansas City Chiefs68¢68.0%—$1.2K10.6%
Buffalo Bills68¢67.5%-3.0 pts$7906.8%
Jacksonville Jaguars50¢49.5%+3.0 pts$7986.9%
Baltimore Ravens41¢41.0%-6.0 pts$7166.2%
Denver Broncos39¢39.0%—$5574.8%
New England Patriots38¢38.5%+0.5 pts$2191.9%
Cincinnati Bengals38¢37.5%—$3242.8%
Houston Texans19¢18.6%+6.8 pts$5.6K48.5%
Pittsburgh Steelers18¢18.5%—$00.0%
Indianapolis Colts11¢11.0%+0.5 pts$690.6%
Las Vegas Raiders8¢8.4%-0.2 pts$00.0%
Cleveland Browns4¢4.5%-0.9 pts$1911.6%
Los Angeles Chargers4¢3.8%+0.2 pts$2031.8%
New York Jets4¢3.6%+0.1 pts$4784.1%
Miami Dolphins3¢3.3%+1.3 pts$1971.7%
Tennessee Titans1¢0.5%-0.1 pts$2011.7%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 67¢ / ask 69¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$11.6K has been traded on this event in total, $52 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 19, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Divisional Round of the 2027 NFL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Divisional Round of the 2027 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Divisional Round matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 160 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Slow-ExhibitYes160$109
Chief-PlotNo55$18
Belated-GlueNo51$16
Whimsical-SellerNo33$11
Vivacious-FondueYes27$18
Lighthearted-RelationYes24$16
Embarrassed-Hill-FoldNo22$7
0xb28443ed…No20$6
Plastic-DuckYes19$13
Stupendous-DonutNo18$6

What are the latest trades?

Tape
SELL No — $19 at 92.8%SELL No — $18 at 92.5%BUY Yes — $18 at 64.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 08:58 PM ETYesSELL46.0%$0
Oct 23, 08:14 PM ETYesSELL46.0%$2
Oct 23, 08:14 PM ETNoBUY54.0%$3
Oct 23, 08:14 PM ETYesSELL46.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoSELL48.0%$0
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$3
Oct 23, 03:48 PM ETNoBUY49.0%$8

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kansas City Chiefs at 68.0%. Next is Buffalo Bills at 67.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-afc-team-to-advance-to-divisional-round?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round?

$11.6K in total volume, with $52 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.

When does Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round end?

The market is scheduled to end January 19, 2027, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nfl.com/.

What is the most likely outcome of Pro Football: AFC Team to advance to Divisional Round, according to Polymarket traders?

Kansas City Chiefs, priced at 68.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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