As of October 24, 2026, 08:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Kansas City Chiefs at 42.0% in Pro Football: Team to advance to AFC Championship Game — $20.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, Kansas City Chiefs, is priced at 42.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +6.5 pts; past month: +19.5 pts.
Since September 02, 2026, Kansas City Chiefs has traded between 18.5% and 60.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 42.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 34.5% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 35.5% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 38.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 40.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 42.0% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 42.0% |
Kansas City Chiefs is favored at 42.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City Chiefs | 42¢ | 42.0% | +1.5 pts | $1.2K | 5.9% |
| Buffalo Bills | 42¢ | 41.5% | +2.5 pts | $532 | 2.6% |
| Jacksonville Jaguars | 24¢ | 24.2% | +0.1 pts | $2.0K | 9.6% |
| Baltimore Ravens | 23¢ | 23.0% | — | $598 | 2.9% |
| Cincinnati Bengals | 18¢ | 18.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Houston Texans | 16¢ | 15.5% | +1.0 pts | $277 | 1.3% |
| Denver Broncos | 13¢ | 13.0% | +2.0 pts | $6.0K | 29.3% |
| New England Patriots | 13¢ | 12.9% | -0.2 pts | $5.5K | 26.9% |
| Indianapolis Colts | 6¢ | 6.5% | +0.5 pts | $134 | 0.6% |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 4¢ | 4.0% | -0.9 pts | $281 | 1.4% |
| Cleveland Browns | 3¢ | 3.4% | -4.0 pts | $160 | 0.8% |
| Miami Dolphins | 3¢ | 2.9% | +0.1 pts | $202 | 1.0% |
| Pittsburgh Steelers | 2¢ | 1.8% | -0.1 pts | $595 | 2.9% |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 1¢ | 1.2% | -0.3 pts | $414 | 2.0% |
| Tennessee Titans | 0¢ | 0.4% | — | $1.6K | 7.6% |
| New York Jets | 0¢ | 0.1% | -0.4 pts | $1.1K | 5.2% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 2¢ (bid 41¢ / ask 43¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$20.6K has been traded on this event in total, $250 of it in the last 24 hours, across 16 markets.
This market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 06:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the AFC Championship Game of the 2027 NFL Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NFL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the AFC Championship Game matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL (https://www.nfl.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.nfl.com/
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 160 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slow-Exhibit | No | 160 | $93 |
| Frozen-Car | Yes | 106 | $45 |
| Perfect-Licence | Yes | 80 | $34 |
| Wry-Friction-Banquette | No | 76 | $44 |
| Thunderous-Clutch | Yes | 68 | $28 |
| Potable-Bathhouse | No | 32 | $18 |
| Plump-Implementation | Yes | 23 | $9 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 15 | $6 |
| Rowdy-Tenement | No | 13 | $8 |
| Lighthearted-Relation | No | 9 | $6 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 11:34 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | Yes | SELL | 10.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 92.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 10:44 AM ET | No | BUY | 91.9% | $18 |
| Oct 21, 08:27 AM ET | No | BUY | 76.7% | $4 |
| Oct 20, 08:19 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 28.0% | $1 |
| Oct 20, 03:34 AM ET | No | BUY | 63.2% | $6 |
| Oct 20, 01:45 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 27.1% | $3 |
| Oct 19, 08:07 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 8.0% | $2 |
As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Kansas City Chiefs at 42.0%. Next is Buffalo Bills at 41.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/pro-football-team-to-advance-to-afc-championship-game?via=bro
$20.6K in total volume, with $250 traded in the last 24 hours across 16 markets.
The market is scheduled to end January 26, 2027, 06:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://www.nfl.com/.
Kansas City Chiefs, priced at 42.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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