Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:07 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Pepas at 68.0% in Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch? — $25.3K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $526.
Leading outcome
Pepas
68%
A 68.0% price implies roughly a 68-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −8.5 pts7D +32.5 pts
Pepas68.0%
Bad and Boujee47.5%
Bid
57¢
Ask
79¢
Spread
22¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 27, 2026: 16.0% – 76.5% · Opened at 16.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?
Category
Music, GTA VI, gaming, Culture, Rockstar, Celebrities
Scheduled end
December 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$25.3K
Volume (24h)
$526
Liquidity
$4.3K
Markets
14
Leading outcome
Pepas — 68.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Pepas, is priced at 68.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -8.5 pts; past week: +32.5 pts.

Since September 27, 2026, Pepas has traded between 16.0% and 76.5%. It opened at 16.0% and last traded at 67.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202640.5%
Oct 18, 202640.0%
Oct 19, 202642.0%
Oct 20, 202662.5%
Oct 22, 202671.0%
Oct 23, 202676.5%
Oct 24, 202667.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Pepas is favored at 68.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Pepas68¢68.0%-8.5 pts$1.3K4.9%
Bad and Boujee48¢47.5%+17.5 pts$2.1K8.4%
Mask Off32¢32.0%-5.0 pts$3.7K14.6%
Sicko Mode29¢29.0%+3.0 pts$4.2K16.4%
Blinding Lights25¢25.0%+3.0 pts$2.6K10.2%
God's Plan21¢21.0%-0.5 pts$1.6K6.5%
Look at Me!21¢21.0%+8.0 pts$9573.8%
Mo Bamba16¢16.5%+2.0 pts$1420.6%
Stay16¢15.6%-4.0 pts$2.8K11.1%
Shape of You14¢14.0%+5.0 pts$3021.2%
As It Was13¢13.0%+1.0 pts$2.3K9.3%
XO Tour Llif312¢11.5%-0.5 pts$6822.7%
Despacito11¢11.0%—$1.8K7.2%
Rockstar11¢11.0%—$7973.1%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 22¢ (bid 57¢ / ask 79¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$25.3K has been traded on this event in total, $526 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed song is confirmed to be included as a playable track on any in-game radio station within Grand Theft Auto VI's base game, as of its initial release on November 19, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A song counts as included if it can be heard by tuning into any radio station in the base game at launch. Music heard on the title screen or as background/ambient music during gameplay (i.e. not selectable via an in-game radio station) does not count. Songs added later via post-launch updates, DLC, or radio station updates will not count toward resolution. If GTA VI fails to release by December 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source of this market will be Rockstar Games' official announcements regarding GTA VI's in-game radio stations, in-game verification after release, or reliable reporting from credible gaming outlets confirming the in-game radio station tracklists.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 223 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Crazy-FishmongerYes223$152
Belated-GlueNo96$31
Straight-WrinkleNo84$27
Lighthearted-RelationYes78$53
Big-RepairNo42$13
Soft-StatuteNo40$13
Gripping-ReferendumNo35$11
Zigzag-Conspirator-GleeNo35$11
Superficial-NightgownYes29$20
Perfumed-MoatNo16$5

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $93 at 78.7%SELL No — $43 at 66.0%BUY Yes — $35 at 22.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 07:31 PM ETNoBUY73.0%$7
Oct 24, 05:01 PM ETYesBUY32.0%$21
Oct 24, 11:08 AM ETYesSELL24.0%$2
Oct 24, 04:29 AM ETYesSELL29.0%$1
Oct 24, 04:29 AM ETNoBUY70.4%$5
Oct 24, 12:56 AM ETNoSELL80.0%$0
Oct 24, 12:53 AM ETNoBUY80.8%$9
Oct 24, 12:53 AM ETYesSELL19.2%$6
Oct 24, 12:51 AM ETYesSELL19.6%$5
Oct 24, 12:51 AM ETNoBUY80.8%$16

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch??

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Pepas at 68.0%. Next is Bad and Boujee at 47.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/songs-on-gta-vi-radio-at-launch?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch??

$25.3K in total volume, with $526 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.

When does Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 03, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Songs on GTA VI Radio at Launch?, according to Polymarket traders?

Pepas, priced at 68.0% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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