As of October 24, 2026, 09:19 PM ET, Polymarket traders price $700k+ at 50.0% in Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” Sale Price — $359 traded so far.
The leading outcome, $700k+, is priced at 50.0%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +1.5 pts; past week: +1.0 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.
Since September 17, 2026, $700k+ has traded between 48.5% and 54.0%. It opened at 50.0% and last traded at 50.0%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 49.0% |
| Oct 22, 2026 | 50.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 48.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 50.0% |
$700k+ is favored at 50.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $700k+ | 50¢ | 50.0% | +1.5 pts | $88 | 24.6% |
| $600k+ | 50¢ | 49.5% | +0.5 pts | $90 | 25.2% |
| $900k+ | 49¢ | 49.0% | +2.0 pts | $83 | 23.2% |
| $1.1m+ | 49¢ | 49.0% | +2.5 pts | $97 | 27.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 96¢ (bid 2¢ / ask 98¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$359 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 4 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 07, 2026, 11:00 AM ET.
Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is expected to be sold at auction on October 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the final auction sale price paid for Alma Thomas's “Red Mums Display” is greater than or equal to the listed price. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If no sale is completed, or the sale price is not known definitively, by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the final "Lot Sold" price as reported in USD. If the final “Lot Sold” price is reported by Sotheby’s in a different currency, this market will resolve according to the USD value of the sale at the time of final sale. The market will resolve according to the final listed “Lot Sold” price on Sothebys (https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3).
Resolution source: https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 78 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Those-Shame | Yes | 78 | $39 |
| Beautiful-Creator | No | 78 | $39 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 23, 01:01 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 2.0% | $0 |
| Oct 09, 04:18 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 02:18 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 98.0% | $1 |
| Oct 07, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $82 |
| Oct 07, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $0 |
| Oct 07, 11:13 AM ET | No | BUY | 98.1% | $95 |
| Sep 20, 05:11 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $83 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is $700k+ at 50.0%. Next is $600k+ at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/thomas-red-mums-display-sale-price?via=bro
$359 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 4 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 07, 2026, 11:00 AM ET. It resolves based on https://www.sothebys.com/en/buy/auction/2026/contemporary-curated-3.
$700k+, priced at 50.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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