Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Top Spotify Artist in October?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:21 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Bruno Mars at 99.8% in Top Spotify Artist in October? — $6.5K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
Bruno Mars
100%
A 99.8% price implies roughly a 100-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
7D +2.0 pts
Bruno Mars99.8%
Artist B50.0%
Bid
100¢
Ask
100¢
Spread
0¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since September 29, 2026: 58.5% – 99.8% · Opened at 58.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Top Spotify Artist in October?
Category
Music, Culture, spotify, Recurring
Scheduled end
October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET
Total volume
$6.5K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$18.7K
Markets
20
Leading outcome
Bruno Mars — 99.8%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Bruno Mars, is priced at 99.8%.

Price changes for the leading market — past week: +2.0 pts.

Since September 29, 2026, Bruno Mars has traded between 58.5% and 99.8%. It opened at 58.5% and last traded at 99.8%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202697.8%
Oct 18, 202698.4%
Oct 19, 202698.6%
Oct 20, 202699.8%
Oct 23, 202699.8%
Oct 24, 202699.8%
Oct 24, 202699.8%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Bruno Mars is favored at 99.8%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Bruno Mars100¢99.8%—$2.1K31.6%
Artist B50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist C50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist D50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist E50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist F50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Lady Gaga0¢0.2%—$4136.3%
Michael Jackson0¢0.2%—$3144.8%
Bad Bunny0¢0.2%+0.1 pts$3144.8%
Shakira0¢0.2%—$3144.8%
Taylor Swift0¢0.2%—$3405.2%
Rihanna0¢0.2%—$3144.8%
Coldplay0¢0.2%—$3144.8%
Justin Bieber0¢0.2%+0.1 pts$3144.8%
Billie Eilish0¢0.1%—$4266.5%
Ariana Grande0¢0.1%—$3144.8%
The Weeknd0¢0.1%+0.1 pts$3235.0%
Drake0¢0.1%—$3144.8%
Ed Sheeran0¢0.1%—$4536.9%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 0¢ (bid 100¢ / ask 100¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$6.5K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 20 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve according to the listed artist with the greatest number of monthly listeners according to Spotify on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. The monthly listener count is listed on each artist's public Spotify profile. Only primary artist profiles will qualify; features or collaborations under another artist profile will not count towards the featured artist's total. In the event of an exact tie for the number of monthly listeners, this market will resolve in favor of the listed artist whose name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify is down at the listed time on the listed date, this market will resolve based on the most recent available data. The resolution source for this market will be Spotify. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 1,001 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Perfect-MistakeYes1,001$999
0xa5ef39c3…No454$1
Belated-GlueNo148$0
Far-UniqueYes120$119
Required-HornNo113$0
Snappy-RoosterNo104$0
Infatuated-NunNo100$0
Sardonic-CaperNo60$0
Impassioned-ChastityNo60$0
Rowdy-TenementNo32$0

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $202 at 99.6%BUY No — $45 at 99.9%BUY No — $45 at 99.9%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 23, 03:43 PM ETNoBUY0.3%$0
Oct 23, 03:43 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$41
Oct 23, 03:43 PM ETNoBUY99.9%$41
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY0.4%$0
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$5
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$5
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY0.4%$0
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$45
Oct 22, 02:58 AM ETNoBUY99.9%$45
Oct 22, 02:57 AM ETNoBUY0.4%$0

Related markets

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Placeholder f - TBD Artist 50.0% · 24H VOL $5.2K

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 90.0% · 24H VOL $3.8K

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 62.8% · 24H VOL $3.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Top Spotify Artist in October??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET, the leading outcome is Bruno Mars at 99.8%. Next is Artist B at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-spotify-artist-in-october-20261031?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Top Spotify Artist in October??

$6.5K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 20 markets.

When does Top Spotify Artist in October? end?

The market is scheduled to end October 31, 2026, 07:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of Top Spotify Artist in October?, according to Polymarket traders?

Bruno Mars, priced at 99.8% as of October 24, 2026, 08:08 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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