Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Top US Spotify Artist 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:49 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Drake at 86.5% in Top US Spotify Artist 2026 — $149.1K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $337.
Leading outcome
Drake
86%
A 86.5% price implies roughly a 86-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H +2.0 pts7D +3.0 pts30D +3.0 pts
Drake86.5%
Artist 250.0%
Bid
85¢
Ask
88¢
Spread
3¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 15, 2026: 64.5% – 88.0% · Opened at 72.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Top US Spotify Artist 2026
Category
Music, Culture, spotify
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$149.1K
Volume (24h)
$337
Liquidity
$67.8K
Markets
46
Leading outcome
Drake — 86.5%
Resolution source
https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Drake, is priced at 86.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.0 pts; past week: +3.0 pts; past month: +3.0 pts.

Since July 15, 2026, Drake has traded between 64.5% and 88.0%. It opened at 72.0% and last traded at 84.5%.

DayClose
Oct 16, 202683.5%
Oct 17, 202683.5%
Oct 18, 202683.5%
Oct 19, 202688.0%
Oct 20, 202688.0%
Oct 22, 202684.5%
Oct 23, 202684.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Drake is favored at 86.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Drake86¢86.5%+2.0 pts$75.9K50.9%
Artist 250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 850¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 950¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1050¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1850¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 1950¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2050¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2650¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2750¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2850¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 2950¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3050¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3150¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3250¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3350¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3450¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Artist 3550¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Taylor Swift10¢10.4%-0.2 pts$11.1K7.4%
Bad Bunny3¢2.9%-1.1 pts$10.1K6.8%
Bruno Mars2¢1.6%—$5.3K3.6%
Kendrick Lamar1¢0.9%—$38.0K25.5%
Morgan Wallen0¢0.1%—$1.7K1.1%
Lady Gaga0¢0.1%—$2.4K1.6%
The Weeknd0¢0.1%—$2.0K1.3%
Sabrina Carpenter0¢0.1%—$1.1K0.7%
Chappell Roan0¢0.1%—$8260.6%
Beyoncé0¢0.1%—$8190.5%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 3¢ (bid 85¢ / ask 88¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$149.1K has been traded on this event in total, $337 of it in the last 24 hours, across 46 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed artist (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify artist in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the artist listed by Spotify as the top artist in the US of 2026. If multiple artists tie for top artist in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the artist whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top artist in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Resolution source: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 3,133 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
0xa5ef39c3…No3,133$423
Unfit-HardboardYes2,530$2.2K
Expensive-StruggleYes1,744$1.5K
Snappy-RoosterNo540$73
Probable-SiteNo511$69
Repentant-GraphicYes358$310
Flamboyant-WarmingNo309$42
Appropriate-Antennae-LayerNo253$34
Perfect-MistakeYes245$212
Caring-MedianYes220$190

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $1.5K at 95.0%BUY No — $1.1K at 94.0%BUY No — $1.0K at 94.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 06:20 PM ETNoBUY90.3%$18
Oct 24, 06:20 PM ETYesSELL10.1%$5
Oct 24, 03:29 PM ETYesBUY10.9%$4
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoSELL14.0%$0
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETYesSELL83.0%$75
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY18.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY17.0%$1
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY18.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY18.0%$4
Oct 23, 08:16 PM ETNoBUY18.0%$4

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Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 90.0% · 24H VOL $3.8K

#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

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Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Top US Spotify Artist 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Drake at 86.5%. Next is Artist 2 at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-us-artist-2026-20260714171850366?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Top US Spotify Artist 2026?

$149.1K in total volume, with $337 traded in the last 24 hours across 46 markets.

When does Top US Spotify Artist 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/.

What is the most likely outcome of Top US Spotify Artist 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Drake, priced at 86.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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