Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

Top US Spotify Song 2026

As of October 24, 2026, 07:59 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Choosin Texas – Ella Langley at 90.1% in Top US Spotify Song 2026 — $46.4K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $193.
Leading outcome
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley
90%
A 90.1% price implies roughly a 90-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −0.4 pts7D −1.5 pts30D −4.0 pts
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley90.1%
"Song C"50.0%
Bid
90¢
Ask
91¢
Spread
1¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since July 16, 2026: 80.0% – 96.5% · Opened at 80.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
Top US Spotify Song 2026
Category
Music, Culture, spotify, Recurring
Scheduled end
January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$46.4K
Volume (24h)
$193
Liquidity
$22.6K
Markets
63
Leading outcome
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley — 90.1%
Resolution source
https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, Choosin Texas – Ella Langley, is priced at 90.1%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -0.4 pts; past week: -1.5 pts; past month: -4.0 pts.

Since July 16, 2026, Choosin Texas – Ella Langley has traded between 80.0% and 96.5%. It opened at 80.0% and last traded at 90.6%.

DayClose
Oct 13, 202694.5%
Oct 15, 202690.5%
Oct 16, 202691.5%
Oct 18, 202690.1%
Oct 19, 202690.5%
Oct 20, 202691.7%
Oct 23, 202690.6%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

Choosin Texas – Ella Langley is favored at 90.1%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
Choosin Texas – Ella Langley90¢90.1%-0.4 pts$31.7K68.4%
"Song C"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song D"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song E"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song F"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song G"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song H"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song I"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song J"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song K"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song L"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song M"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song N"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song O"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song P"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Q"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song R"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song S"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song T"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song U"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song V"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song W"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song X"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Y"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song Z"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AA"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AB"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AC"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AD"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AE"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AF"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AG"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AH"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AI"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AJ"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AK"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AL"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AM"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AN"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AO"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AP"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AQ"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AR"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AS"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AT"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AU"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AV"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AW"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AX"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
"Song AY"50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Other50¢50.0%+0.0 pts$00.0%
Risk It All – Bruno Mars1¢0.5%—$4.2K9.1%
Billie Jean – Michael Jackson0¢0.4%—$1.4K3.0%
hate that i made you love me – Ariana Grande0¢0.4%—$9492.0%
Beauty And A Beat – Justin Bieber & Nicki Minaj0¢0.3%—$9222.0%
Dai Dai – Shakira & Burna Boy0¢0.3%—$1.1K2.3%
Earrings – Malcom Todd0¢0.3%-0.1 pts$6051.3%
Swim – BTS0¢0.2%—$9582.1%
Die With A Smile – Lady Gaga & Bruno Mars0¢0.2%—$1.0K2.2%
APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars0¢0.1%—$9742.1%
Drop Dead – Olivia Rodrigo0¢0.1%—$8421.8%
Stateside – PinkPantheress & Zara Larsson0¢0.1%—$8371.8%
Man I Need – Olivia Dean0¢0.1%—$9222.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 90¢ / ask 91¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$46.4K has been traded on this event in total, $193 of it in the last 24 hours, across 63 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Spotify releases an annual report of its most streamed song (see: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/). This market refers to the most streamed Spotify song in the US for 2026. This market will resolve according to the name of the song listed by Spotify as the top song in the US of 2026. If multiple songs tie for top song in the US for 2026, this market will resolve according to the song whose listed name comes first in alphabetical order. If Spotify does not release who their top song in the US for 2026 is by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Spotify, typically released as part of Spotify Wrapped. Note: This market and these products have not been endorsed by Spotify. Any references to Spotify, Spotify charts, streaming data, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Spotify and Polymarket. Spotify and related marks are the property of Spotify AB and its group companies.

Resolution source: https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 2,888 shares of Yes.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Yearly-TakeoverYes2,888$2.6K
Wicked-SonnetNo1,491$147
0xa5ef39c3…No779$77
Known-UseNo420$41
Perfect-MistakeYes402$362
Gifted-RancherNo258$25
Rubbery-PolicyNo230$23
Grim-GarageNo185$18
Outlandish-ComplicityNo155$15
Arctic-VanadylYes154$139

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY No — $161 at 94.9%BUY No — $40 at 99.8%BUY No — $30 at 99.8%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 24, 10:32 AM ETNoSELL10.0%$5
Oct 24, 01:07 AM ETYesSELL89.0%$18
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETYesSELL90.2%$18
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY10.2%$2
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY10.1%$2
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY9.8%$2
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY9.7%$2
Oct 24, 01:04 AM ETNoBUY9.5%$2
Oct 22, 08:25 PM ETNoBUY9.2%$1
Oct 22, 10:27 AM ETNoSELL9.5%$1

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Top Spotify Artist 2026

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#2 Spotify Artist in October?

Rihanna 76.5% · 24H VOL $3.2K

#2 US Spotify Song 2026

Man I Need – Olivia Dean 62.8% · 24H VOL $3.0K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of Top US Spotify Song 2026?

As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is Choosin Texas – Ella Langley at 90.1%. Next is "Song C" at 50.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/top-us-song-2026-20260714200101906?via=bro

How much money has been traded on Top US Spotify Song 2026?

$46.4K in total volume, with $193 traded in the last 24 hours across 63 markets.

When does Top US Spotify Song 2026 end?

The market is scheduled to end January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. It resolves based on https://newsroom.spotify.com/2025-12-03/wrapped-top-artists-songs-albums-podcasts-audiobooks/.

What is the most likely outcome of Top US Spotify Song 2026, according to Polymarket traders?

Choosin Texas – Ella Langley, priced at 90.1% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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