As of October 24, 2026, 07:54 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2027 at 62.5% in Two SpaceX Starships dock together by…? — $76.6K traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2027, is priced at 62.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — past week: -5.0 pts; past month: +10.5 pts.
Since June 11, 2026, December 31, 2027 has traded between 39.0% and 84.5%. It opened at 39.0% and last traded at 61.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | 59.0% |
| Oct 13, 2026 | 58.5% |
| Oct 15, 2026 | 60.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 64.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 60.5% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 62.5% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 61.5% |
December 31, 2027 is favored at 62.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 62¢ | 62.5% | — | $28.7K | 37.4% |
| December 31, 2026 | 3¢ | 2.6% | -0.1 pts | $47.9K | 62.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 1¢ (bid 62¢ / ask 63¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$76.6K has been traded on this event in total, $450 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if two SpaceX Starships successfully execute a docking maneuver in a stable Earth orbit between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A qualifying docking maneuver must physically join two vessels, matching in velocity, into a connected structure via mating hardware for at least 60 continuous seconds. The two vessels must be in stable Earth orbit with a perigee of at least 100 kilometers above the Earth’s surface. The docking of any two SpaceX vessels which each serve as an integrated rocket-and-spacecraft and both equal or exceed Starship in scale will qualify regardless of their contents or variant (standard, tanker, depot, HLS, test article, etc.). The two vessels must be free-flying. Any capsule or payload carried to orbit exclusively atop a separate launch vehicle will not qualify. If either vessel is passively placed into the mating interface of the other vessel, that conjunction will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 5,610 shares of Yes.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legitimate-Tornado | Yes | 5,610 | $3.5K |
| Negligible-Last | No | 5,377 | $2.0K |
| Scientific-Sophomore | No | 1,149 | $431 |
| Academic-Forecast | Yes | 681 | $425 |
| Vivacious-Fondue | No | 385 | $144 |
| Euphoric-Flan | Yes | 350 | $219 |
| Belated-Glue | Yes | 261 | $163 |
| Daring-Pirate | Yes | 240 | $150 |
| Circular-Sandpaper-Larder | No | 219 | $82 |
| EddyTri | No | 180 | $68 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 65.0% | $32 |
| Oct 24, 04:05 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 63.0% | $63 |
| Oct 24, 03:44 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $9 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $12 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 61.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 03:20 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 60.0% | $90 |
| Oct 24, 11:23 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 11:14 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.8% | $39 |
| Oct 24, 10:41 AM ET | No | BUY | 97.7% | $49 |
| Oct 23, 06:55 PM ET | Yes | SELL | 69.0% | $34 |
As of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2027 at 62.5%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 2.6%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/two-spacex-starships-dock-together-by?via=bro
$76.6K in total volume, with $450 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2027, priced at 62.5% as of October 24, 2026, 07:36 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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