Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

US announces another yen intervention by...?

As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 50.5% in US announces another yen intervention by...? — $140 traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026
50%
A 50.5% price implies roughly a 50-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.0 pts7D +10.5 pts30D +11.0 pts
Bid
7¢
Ask
94¢
Spread
87¢
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Range since September 03, 2026: 39.5% – 52.5% · Opened at 51.0%

Market facts

Event data
Event
US announces another yen intervention by...?
Category
Yen, Japan, Economy, Finance, currency, economics, Macro Indicators
Scheduled end
December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$140
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$97
Markets
1
Leading outcome
December 31, 2026 — 50.5%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 50.5%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +10.5 pts; past month: +11.0 pts.

Since September 03, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 39.5% and 52.5%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 52.5%.

DayClose
Oct 15, 202640.0%
Oct 16, 202640.0%
Oct 18, 202640.0%
Oct 19, 202640.0%
Oct 20, 202640.0%
Oct 23, 202652.5%
Oct 24, 202652.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

December 31, 2026 is favored at 50.5%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
December 31, 202650¢50.5%-2.0 pts$00.0%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 87¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$140 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.

Related markets

More Yen

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↑1.50 50.5% · 24H VOL $0

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of US announces another yen intervention by...??

As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-another-yen-intervention-byptptpt?via=bro

How much money has been traded on US announces another yen intervention by...??

$140 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.

When does US announces another yen intervention by...? end?

The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of US announces another yen intervention by...?, according to Polymarket traders?

December 31, 2026, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

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