As of October 24, 2026, 09:22 PM ET, Polymarket traders price December 31, 2026 at 50.5% in US announces another yen intervention by...? — $140 traded so far.
The leading outcome, December 31, 2026, is priced at 50.5%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.0 pts; past week: +10.5 pts; past month: +11.0 pts.
Since September 03, 2026, December 31, 2026 has traded between 39.5% and 52.5%. It opened at 51.0% and last traded at 52.5%.
| Day | Close |
|---|---|
| Oct 15, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 16, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 18, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 19, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 20, 2026 | 40.0% |
| Oct 23, 2026 | 52.5% |
| Oct 24, 2026 | 52.5% |
December 31, 2026 is favored at 50.5%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 50¢ | 50.5% | -2.0 pts | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 87¢ (bid 7¢ / ask 94¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$140 has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 1 market.
This market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government announces that it has intervened in the foreign exchange market to support the Japanese yen between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying announcement must establish that (i) the United States purchased Japanese yen in the foreign exchange market and (ii) the purchase was undertaken as an exchange-rate intervention, whether stated explicitly or clearly established through context. The intervention may be unilateral or coordinated with other governments, but the United States must participate directly. Any qualifying announcement made within this market's time frame will count, provided the underlying yen purchase occurred after July 31, 2026. Statements of concern, readiness, or intent to intervene; swap lines or other currency arrangements absent a qualifying yen purchase; and intervention by other governments without US participation will not qualify. A qualifying announcement must be made through official channels, by an individual acting in an official capacity. Statements made incidentally or informally in a context not intended for official communication do not qualify. Resolution will be based on official statements from the US Treasury, Federal Reserve, White House, or their official representatives acting in an official capacity.
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is December 31, 2026 at 50.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/us-announces-another-yen-intervention-byptptpt?via=bro
$140 in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 1 markets.
The market is scheduled to end December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
December 31, 2026, priced at 50.5% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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