Live Odds · Updated October 24, 2026

When will Project Helix be released?

As of October 24, 2026, 08:55 PM ET, Polymarket traders price May 31, 2027 at 39.0% in When will Project Helix be released? — $3.2K traded so far.

Last updated October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET with live prices from Polymarket. 24h volume: $0.
Leading outcome
May 31, 2027
39%
A 39.0% price implies roughly a 39-in-100 chance, set by traders risking real money.
24H −2.5 pts7D +1.5 pts30D +13.0 pts
May 31, 202739.0%
December 31, 202636.0%
Bid
17¢
Ask
61¢
Spread
44¢
Trade on Polymarket →
Range since March 09, 2026: 15.0% – 54.5% · Opened at 54.5%

Market facts

Event data
Event
When will Project Helix be released?
Category
Culture, xbox, Games
Scheduled end
May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET
Total volume
$3.2K
Volume (24h)
$0
Liquidity
$93
Markets
2
Leading outcome
May 31, 2027 — 39.0%

What is the current price?

Momentum & history

The leading outcome, May 31, 2027, is priced at 39.0%.

Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: -2.5 pts; past week: +1.5 pts; past month: +13.0 pts.

Since March 09, 2026, May 31, 2027 has traded between 15.0% and 54.5%. It opened at 54.5% and last traded at 43.5%.

DayClose
Oct 17, 202640.5%
Oct 18, 202645.0%
Oct 19, 202633.0%
Oct 20, 202624.0%
Oct 22, 202640.0%
Oct 23, 202641.5%
Oct 24, 202643.5%

Who is favored to win?

Outcomes

May 31, 2027 is favored at 39.0%.

OutcomePriceImplied probability24h changeVolumeVolume share
May 31, 202739¢39.0%-2.5 pts$1.8K54.9%
December 31, 202636¢36.0%-2.5 pts$130.4%

See the full live book for this market on Polymarket

The leading market's spread is 44¢ (bid 17¢ / ask 61¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.

How much has been traded?

Volume

$3.2K has been traded on this event in total, $0 of it in the last 24 hours, across 2 markets.

When does this market resolve?

Rules

This market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Microsoft officially releases Project Helix by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying product must be acknowledged to be part of Project Helix and be recognized as a major Xbox console, similar to the Xbox Series X or Xbox One. A new Xbox console not acknowledged by Microsoft as being part of Project Helix will not qualify. In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Microsoft. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

What do the biggest traders hold?

Top holders

The largest current holder of the leading market holds 232 shares of No.

HolderOutcome heldSharesValue at current price
Submissive-CommunistNo232$141
Stale-CashewYes100$39
Evil-RowYes63$25
Belated-GlueYes50$20
Compassionate-Nasal-CrazyYes20$8
Unnatural-AnalystYes3$1
Exemplary-DecisionmakingNo3$2
Shabby-Personnel-LiftNo1$1

What are the latest trades?

Tape
BUY Yes — $20 at 70.0%BUY Yes — $20 at 70.0%BUY Yes — $20 at 70.0%
TimeOutcomeSidePriceSize
Oct 15, 10:54 AM ETNoSELL61.0%$6
Sep 28, 07:56 AM ETNoBUY93.0%$12
Aug 30, 05:12 PM ETNoSELL71.0%$9
Aug 11, 02:09 PM ETNoSELL66.9%$8
Aug 10, 08:38 AM ETNoBUY53.0%$7
Aug 07, 09:43 AM ETYesSELL21.6%$6
Aug 06, 07:47 AM ETYesBUY17.0%$5
Aug 06, 07:46 AM ETYesBUY70.0%$20
Aug 06, 07:45 AM ETYesBUY17.0%$5
Aug 06, 07:44 AM ETYesBUY70.0%$20

Related markets

More Culture

Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

Armenia 76.0% · 24H VOL $138.8K

Frequently asked questions

FAQ

What are the odds of When will Project Helix be released??

As of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET, the leading outcome is May 31, 2027 at 39.0%. Next is December 31, 2026 at 36.0%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/when-will-project-helix-be-released?via=bro

How much money has been traded on When will Project Helix be released??

$3.2K in total volume, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours across 2 markets.

When does When will Project Helix be released? end?

The market is scheduled to end May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

What is the most likely outcome of When will Project Helix be released?, according to Polymarket traders?

May 31, 2027, priced at 39.0% as of October 24, 2026, 08:45 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.

Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.

⚠️ Not financial advice: odds swing hard on news. Never bet money you can't afford to lose, and always read a market's resolution rules before trading.

Trade it on Polymarket

Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.

Sign Up on Polymarket

New here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.