As of October 24, 2026, 09:13 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Seattle, WA at 49.9% in Where will it rain on October 24? — $747 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Seattle, WA, is priced at 49.9%.
Price changes for the leading market — 24 hours: +2.4 pts.
Since October 23, 2026, Seattle, WA has traded between 7.4% and 25.0%. It opened at 25.0% and last traded at 7.4%.
Seattle, WA is favored at 49.9%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle, WA | 50¢ | 49.9% | +2.4 pts | $299 | 40.0% |
| Los Angeles, CA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.4 pts | $30 | 4.0% |
| Dallas, TX | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.4 pts | $10 | 1.3% |
| Phoenix, AZ | 50¢ | 49.5% | +46.8 pts | $86 | 11.5% |
| Philadelphia, PA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.9 pts | $20 | 2.7% |
| Washington, DC | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.9 pts | $19 | 2.6% |
| Atlanta, GA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.3 pts | $10 | 1.3% |
| Boston, MA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.4 pts | $10 | 1.3% |
| New Orleans, LA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.4 pts | $10 | 1.3% |
| San Francisco, CA | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.5 pts | $30 | 4.0% |
| Chicago, IL | 50¢ | 49.5% | +47.8 pts | $20 | 2.7% |
| New York, NY | 49¢ | 49.4% | +47.7 pts | $20 | 2.7% |
| Houston, TX | 49¢ | 49.3% | +47.6 pts | $20 | 2.7% |
| Miami, FL | 38¢ | 38.5% | -0.5 pts | $162 | 21.6% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 98¢ (bid 1¢ / ask 99¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$747 has been traded on this event in total, $390 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 02:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Seattle, WA records measurable precipitation on October 24, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KSEA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KSEA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.
Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA
The largest current holder of the leading market holds 40 shares of No.
| Holder | Outcome held | Shares | Value at current price |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0x42c03b2a… | No | 40 | $20 |
| 0x5b487198… | No | 40 | $20 |
| Sugary-Eurocentrism | Yes | 24 | $12 |
| These-Latency-Perspective | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Different-Windshield | Yes | 20 | $10 |
| Vibrant-Fertilizer | Yes | 12 | $6 |
| 0x28a66540… | Yes | 5 | $2 |
| Passionate-Consciousness | No | 5 | $3 |
| Prickly-Eyrie | Yes | 4 | $2 |
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 08:07 PM ET | No | BUY | 95.0% | $10 |
| Oct 24, 07:56 PM ET | No | BUY | 96.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 06:45 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $21 |
| Oct 24, 06:33 PM ET | Yes | BUY | 13.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 05:54 PM ET | No | BUY | 90.0% | $17 |
| Oct 24, 05:31 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $18 |
| Oct 24, 04:14 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $14 |
| Oct 24, 04:03 PM ET | No | BUY | 94.0% | $30 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $0 |
| Oct 24, 12:22 PM ET | No | BUY | 88.0% | $22 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET, the leading outcome is Seattle, WA at 49.9%. Next is Los Angeles, CA at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-october-24-2026?via=bro
$747 in total volume, with $390 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 25, 2026, 02:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=SEA.
Seattle, WA, priced at 49.9% as of October 24, 2026, 09:03 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
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