As of October 24, 2026, 09:23 PM ET, Polymarket traders price Miami, FL at 60.0% in Where will it rain on October 25? — $105 traded so far.
The leading outcome, Miami, FL, is priced at 60.0%.
Since October 24, 2026, Miami, FL has traded between 60.0% and 85.0%. It opened at 85.0% and last traded at 60.0%.
Miami, FL is favored at 60.0%.
| Outcome | Price | Implied probability | 24h change | Volume | Volume share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami, FL | 60¢ | 60.0% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Chicago, IL | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $20 | 19.2% |
| Houston, TX | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $20 | 19.2% |
| Los Angeles, CA | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Phoenix, AZ | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Seattle, WA | 50¢ | 49.5% | — | $33 | 31.6% |
| New York, NY | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $20 | 19.2% |
| Dallas, TX | 49¢ | 49.0% | — | $11 | 10.7% |
| Washington, DC | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Philadelphia, PA | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Atlanta, GA | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| Boston, MA | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| New Orleans, LA | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
| San Francisco, CA | 2¢ | 2.1% | — | $0 | 0.0% |
See the full live book for this market on Polymarket
The leading market's spread is 70¢ (bid 25¢ / ask 95¢) — a tighter spread means cheaper round-trip trading.
$105 has been traded on this event in total, $105 of it in the last 24 hours, across 14 markets.
This market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 02:00 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Miami, FL records measurable precipitation on October 25, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Measurable precipitation means 0.01 inches or more as reported by the PRECIPITATION (IN) figure in the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for the city's station. A report of trace ("T") does not qualify. The PRECIPITATION (IN) figure measures total liquid-equivalent precipitation and does not distinguish between precipitation types. The observation period is the NWS climate day for KMIA: midnight to midnight local standard time. The final CLI report for a climate day is issued the following morning. This market will resolve according to the NWS Daily Climate Report as published by 2:00 PM ET on the day following the observation date. If multiple versions of the report are issued, the last version published before that time governs. If no figure has been published by that time, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the NWS Daily Climate Report (CLI) for KMIA, published at https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.
Resolution source: https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA
| Time | Outcome | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 04:26 PM ET | No | BUY | 99.0% | $20 |
| Oct 24, 11:36 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 95.0% | $5 |
| Oct 24, 08:41 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $3 |
| Oct 24, 08:00 AM ET | Yes | BUY | 82.0% | $20 |
As of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET, the leading outcome is Miami, FL at 60.0%. Next is Chicago, IL at 49.5%. See the live book on Polymarket: https://polymarket.com/event/where-will-it-rain-on-october-25-2026?via=bro
$105 in total volume, with $105 traded in the last 24 hours across 14 markets.
The market is scheduled to end October 26, 2026, 02:00 PM ET. It resolves based on https://forecast.weather.gov/product.php?site=NWS&product=CLI&issuedby=MIA.
Miami, FL, priced at 60.0% as of October 24, 2026, 09:17 PM ET. Prices are implied probabilities backed by real-money trading.
Browse the live odds index, today's biggest movers, and Whale Watch for the largest positions.
Prices move fast. Check the live book, read the resolution rules, and size small while you learn.
Sign Up on PolymarketNew here? Start with the complete beginner guide, then run any stake through the payout calculator before you trade.